DraftKings Early MLB Picks June 21: Pay up for Severino

NEW YORK – APRIL 16: The new Yankees Stadium facade is seen during the opening day game between the Cleveland Indians and the New York Yankees at the new Yankee Stadium on April 16, 2009 in the Bronx borough of New York City. This is the first regular season MLB game being played at the new venue which replaced the old Yankee Stadium as the Yankees home field. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Early MLB Picks June 21: Pay up for Severino

We have the most hours of sunlight in any day this year. Let’s celebrate it with some baseball! Unlike yesterday, this is not a balanced slate. There are still seven evening games, but there are only three afternoon games, which makes it harder to get parity in your lineups. Where are others looking, and should we do the same? Let’s check it out!

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It is a tame day for weather. We don’t even have any wind to worry about! The strongest is a 9 mph casual breeze blowing in from center in Minneapolis.

We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!

These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. Stacking against a bad pitcher is always a good idea!

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Next: DraftKings Pitcher Plays

DENVER, CO – JUNE 10: Kyle Freeland #21 of the Colorado Rockies pitches in the first inning of a game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Coors Field on June 10, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Luis Severino ($12,000): The Mariners are only hitting .212 against Severino in two starts with no runs and ten strikeouts. That’s right. None of the current Mariners have been able to get anything off of Severino. They did pretty well against Loaisiga last night, but Severino is the undeniable ace of this staff. He has shutdown stuff, and will likely do just that to the Mariners today. He is easily the best option of the afternoon. It’s not even close.

Middle Tier:

James Paxton ($8,300): How long has Paxton been in the league? Almost six years, right? Would you believe that he has never faced the Yankees? How is that even possible? I can understand not facing them in New York, but he has never once faced those hulks in pinstripes. That could be a good or a bad thing. The Yankees have a ton of right handed power, and this is definitely a hitters park. That said, Paxton has good strikeout rates to mitigate damage. His price almost seems too low here. The strikeout potential alone is enough to take a chance on Paxton. That and he is the only middle tier pitcher out there.

Bargain Pitchers:

Kyle Freeland ($6,100): As you may have guessed, there are three pitchers that I can tolerate today, and three that I really don’t like. I suppose you can try Matz, but I much prefer Freeland. Freeland pitched well at Coors last year, dominated the Mets in New York this year, and probably has the most strikeout potential of the cheap guys unless you want to roll the dice with Matz. Freeland struck out eight Mets in seven innings earlier this year, and if not for Cespedes, he would have escaped that game unscathed.

Next: Other notes for 6-21

NEW YORK, NY – APRIL 25: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees hits a sacrifice fly in the fourth inning and Gleyber Torres of the New York Yankees scores against the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium on April 25, 2018 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

I don’t care who the left hander is, Aaron Judge is in play against him at home. You can make a case for Stanton with the way he has been hitting as well. Beyond that, I don’t know that I trust Sanchez enough to pay up for him. If you’re feeling frisky, you could put Andujar in there, but I still think Paxton has a solid game, even if he does give up a couple of homers.

Kyle Gibson has been pretty bad at home, and now he gets the Red Sox. The Sox are hitting .278 with five homers and 13 runs in only 79 at bats. That said, all but one RBI has been delivered by Mookie, J.D. Martinez, and Jackie Bradley, Jr. Those are the three Red Sox I want this afternoon. However, there is nothing wrong with adding two more to make a full stack.

Ahhh….Coors is on this slate. Good luck! The Rockies are hitting .370 with three homers and 12 runs in just 54 at bats against Steven Matz. Arenado already has three homers and seven RBI off of Matz! Charlie Blackmon is 6-11, but has no counting stats. Trevor Story is 3-7 with two RBI. LeMahieu is 4-7 with four runs scored. This could get ugly for Matz.

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Middle Tier:

Wilmer Flores is always a good bet with a lefty on the hill. Amed Rosario and Todd Frazier are worth a look as well. After all, Freeland dominated them in New York, not Coors Field.

Bargain Shoppers:

Almost all of the Twins are cheap, and almost all of them have hit Porcello well. The Twins are hitting .250 with seven homers and 31 runs in just 212 at bats against Porcello. Brian Dozier has three homers and seven RBI, and still costs just $3,500. Kepler, Grossman, and LoMo have homered off of Porcello as well. Joe Mauer is 16-64(.250) with eight runs and six RBi despite not much else. The only one I would really avoid here is Eddie Rosario, who is just 2-15 against Rick Porcello, but he has homered off of him.

Next: DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdowns

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