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5 NFL win total over/under bets to make you rich

By Rucker Haringey

SANTA CLARA, CA - JUNE 12: San Francisco 49ers Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) stands and watches his team during minicamp on June 12, 2018 at the SAP Performance Facility in Santa Clara, CA. (Photo by Corey Silvia/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
SANTA CLARA, CA - JUNE 12: San Francisco 49ers Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) stands and watches his team during minicamp on June 12, 2018 at the SAP Performance Facility in Santa Clara, CA. (Photo by Corey Silvia/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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BEREA, OH – MAY 30, 2018: Quarterback Tyrod Taylor #5 and running back Carlos Hyde #34 of the Cleveland Browns high five as they stretch during an OTA practice on May 30, 2018 at the Cleveland Browns training facility in Berea, Ohio. (Photo by: 2018 Diamond Images/Getty Images)
BEREA, OH – MAY 30, 2018: Quarterback Tyrod Taylor #5 and running back Carlos Hyde #34 of the Cleveland Browns high five as they stretch during an OTA practice on May 30, 2018 at the Cleveland Browns training facility in Berea, Ohio. (Photo by: 2018 Diamond Images/Getty Images) /

2. Cleveland Browns: 5.5 wins — Under

The Browns have made a lot of nice moves to help them progress from being a laughingstock to a respectable team this season. Moving from zero wins all the way to six is still going to be a massive mountain for Cleveland to climb. Take the under at +125.

Tyrod Taylor is going to make this offense a lot more competent. Unfortunately, he’s still being coached by Hue Jackson. That means this offense is still going to sputter a lot of the time. Jarvis Landry catching eight-yard hitch routes from the slot isn’t going to scare any opposing defensive coordinators.

Optimistic Browns fans will point to Taylor’s ability to protect the football as a big plus for the season. They are exactly right, the team’s interception total is going to plummet. That doesn’t mean this group is going to make enough big plays to merit a six win increase over 2017.

Cleveland is still the weakest team in the AFC North by a significant margin. Even if you believe the Ravens are going to take a step back, they still project to be better than the Browns. The Bengals should hover around .500 again too. Pittsburgh remains the class of the division even if they can’t equal last year’s win total of 13. In short, there just aren’t enough potential wins on the schedule to justify the over. This might be a nervous bet down the stretch, but the under is still a relatively safe play here.