DraftKings Early MLB Picks September 27: Avoid Arrieta at Coors
There are only two games in our early DraftKings tournament today, and pitching is still better than it was yesterday. Of course, that doesn’t mean that the early tournament wasn’t very interesting and a whole lot of fun. Just be on the lookout for values like Victor Robles. They are going to be increasingly common over the last few days of the season.
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We have the Trop and Coors for parks this afternoon. The weather is good in both. How do we stack Coors and afford pitching? Let’s take a look!
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!
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CC Sabathia ($7,600): I am a little nervous about using CC away from Yankee Stadium, but he has averaged 17.7 DraftKings points in two starts against the Rays this year. On a short slate, I have no issues using Sabathia here. He probably wont pitch a shutout, but I don’t really see him getting knocked around either. Sabathia should end up in the high teens once again.
Jake Arrieta ($7,100): The Rockies are only hitting .209 against Arrieta with two homers and 11 runs in 115 at bats. Today, that’s good enough to consider him. Now for the bad news: Arrieta has had just two career starts at Coors Field, and both have been disasters. He allowed 18 runs (14 earned) in just 8.2 innings over those two starts. Uh…..how lucky do you feel?
Antonio Senzatela ($6,000): Senzatela did face the Phillies last year, but only five of those players are still with the team. They are 4-10 against him. Fast forward to this year, and Senzatela has been okay in home starts and serviceable in road starts. Those aren’t ringing endorsements. What I can say is that Senzatela’s stats are a whole lot better in Coors Field than Arrieta’s, so take that for what you will.
Jalen Beeks ($5,800): The Rays elected to let Glasnow finish the season against the Jays instead of the Yankees. It would look to be Beeks’ turn out of the bullpen in this one, but I can’t really say that I like the matchup. However, Beeks put up 20.9 DraftKings points against the Yankees in his only other appearance against them. There is some upside here, but wow, the Yankees pound lefties. They did it to Yarbrough earlier in this series, so caveat emptor.
If it is Beeks that is the primary pitcher, I like both Judge and Stanton here. You could make a case for Gary Sanchez and Miguel Andujar as well to avoid the chalk of Coors. However, this is a GPP only solution. There is no guarantee that Beeks will pitch poorly. It is more than likely that at least one of the Coors pitchers does.
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Arrieta’s awful history at Coors has me considering a Rockies stack here. Of course, you would likely have to use the pitcher in said stack. That normally wouldn’t be a huge deal, but Senzatela has struggled at home. At any rate, Carlos Gonzalez and Ian Desmond have the homers, so start there. Arenado and Blackmon are both hitting below the Mendoza line against Arrieta, so a fade there is understandable. LeMahieu and Wolters almost look like better options.
There are a few things to like about the Phillies here. First off, they are quite a bit cheaper than Rockies. Only Herrera and Hoskins crack the $4,500 plateau. There could be cheaper goodness with the power potential of Justin Bour and Nick Williams here. Asdrubal Cabrera looks pretty tempting as well.
Surprisingly, Kevin Kiermaier has homered twice off of Sabathia in just 16 at bats. Carlos Gomez and Cron have taken him deep as well. I also like Matt Duffy as a punt play. Duffy is just $3,600, and he is 5-9 with two RBI against Sabathia.
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