DraftKings MLB Picks October 4: Look for value in Milwaukee
Welcome to the MLB playoffs! It was a fun ride through the regular season. Hopefully you enjoyed completing the missions and season long achievements on DraftKings. Hopefully my pieces helped you win some money. Let’s continue that through the playoffs, or at least while they have two games per day!
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The weather looks good for the opening games of the NLDS, even if it is a touch cold in Beer City.
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!
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Hyun-Jin Ryu ($8,900): Actually, Ryu had been hit hard by the current Braves. They are a strong 14-40(.350) with a homer and four runs with just six strikeouts. That doesn’t really look like someone to build around. However, none of that has come this year. Ryu has a brilliant 1.15 ERA in nine home starts this year and a 1.88 ERA since his return from the DL on August 15th. Attack at your own risk.
Mike Foltynewicz ($8,300): If you are looking for the strikeout upside on this slate, here it is. Foltynewicz only started once against the Dodgers this year, and it wasn’t that good of a start. He allowed four runs on six hits in five innings, but did strike out eight. Folty managed to salvage 13.9 DraftKings points in that one, but we are definitely looking for more if we are shelling out this kind of money.
Wade Miley ($6,000): As of this writing, the Brewers have yet to decide on a starter for this game. Miley would make sense since he started on Saturday, and the Rockies are marginally less dangerous against lefties. There isn’t much for strikeout upside here, but any time the Rockies play on the road, whoever is on the mound is worth a look.
Antonio Senzatela ($5,200): It makes sense for the Rockies to use Senzatela on the road since his ERA is nearly a run worse at Coors. That said, Senzatela has been solid wherever he has pitched lately. The knock on Senzatela is the glaring lack of strikeouts. That does serve to keep the price low. Starting pitchers may have a tad longer leash than in the wild card games, but this is still a short series. If Senzatela gets in trouble early, he’s going to get hooked before he has the chance to get you back in the black.
Senzatela’s one start against Milwaukee went pretty well last year, but Christian Yelich wasn’t on that team. Yelich has come up huge when it counted the most. Fading him right now is a huge risk no matter what he costs.
If Wade Miley is out there, we almost have to start Arenado. He just punishes lefties. Aside from that, I’m not all that crazy about any Rockies, but Ian Desmond looks like a solid value play.
Manny Machado is already 4-6 against Folty. It’s only a matter of time before Machado starts piling up some counting stats against him.
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After Yelich, I’m more interested in the middle tier of Brewers than the other stars. That means guys like Moose, Schoop, and Travis Shaw over Cain or Aguilar.
Freddie Freeman is 5-8 with two runs and a RBI against Ryu. I wouldn’t go into this expecting a homer, but the playoffs are a lot like the first week of the season. The pitchers are usually in mid-season form while the hitters take a while to get going. The same can be said for the playoffs with all of the good pitching on display this time of year.
Expect to see Adam Duvall in the Braves lineup a lot in this series with the plethora of lefties at the Dodgers’ disposal. Duvall is the only current Brave to homer against Ryu, and he is dirt cheap.
There isn’t a lot in this tier I really like, but Orlando Arcia hit pretty well down the stretch. If he cracks the lineup, he is a strong punt at a weak position.
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