DraftKings MLB Picks October 7: Coors hits the playoffs
We are back down to two games today. Only the N.L. Series are here at our disposal on DraftKings, but at least we know which four starting pitchers we have to choose from. This is the playoffs, so all of the pitchers are good, at least in theory. Let’s look a little closer.
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There is a chance of rain in Denver in the later innings, but not enough to threaten starters, and only enough to threaten the game if this goes extras. There is also good hitting weather in Atlanta with it being warm and humid, but I’m assuming Coors is going to be the chalk hitting environment.
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!
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Walker Buehler ($9,500): Buehler has been absolutely dominant with a 1.43 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in his last ten starts. On top of that, the Braves have not scored a run in this entire series! That may not change here with Buehler on the mound. I’m assuming Buehler is going to be the chalk play, but we can get our separation elsewhere. We can’t afford to fade his 30 DraftKings points.
German Marquez ($9,000): If you are looking for strikeout upside, Marquez has that in spades. He set a modern major league record in his last start of the regular season by striking out the first eight batters he faced. The bad news is that the competition in the playoffs has been much better. Marquez still hit 20 DraftKings points against the Dodgers in the tiebreaker, and I would expect him to be around that area again tonight. However, the upside on Buehler is probably higher. If you are stacking Coors, you have to fade one of the top arms. I would suggest fading Marquez.
Sean Newcomb ($8,100): The Dodgers are hitting just .160 against Newcomb in 75 at bats, but they do have three homers and eight runs. Still, I view Newcomb as a decent way to avoid the chalk and grab a bit of salary relief. That said, I think all pitchers will be over 25% owned today. The real separation is going to come from the bats.
Wade Miley ($4,300): I completely understand using the veteran Miley here. First off, the Rockies aren’t as good against lefties. Second, Miley has a 2.57 ERA on the season, and a 2.50 ERA in nine road starts. Coors Field is an entirely different animal as well all know. However, Miley has a respectable 4.76 ERA in five career Coors Field starts. Miley looks a touch underpriced, but he has zero strikeout potential to help you recoup points if the Rockies blast him.
Nolan Arenado is automatic against a lefty, especially at home. Trevor Story, Matt Holliday, and Ian Desmond have all homered off of Miley in their careers as well. Only Holiday is priced in the bargain tier.
Surprise, surprise. Christian Yelich has a homer against Marquez. However, with the amount of good pitching out there today, I just don’t know that I can justify that monstrous price tag.
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Lorenzo Cain at $4,300 leading off at Coors seems cheap. Especially when you consider that he has homered off of Marquez in the past.
We all know that Puig is better against righties than lefties. For that reason, I think Chris Taylor is the play I want for the Dodgers. He has a homer off of Newcomb, and isn’t crazy expensive. Matt Kemp is worth a look too.
If Austin Barnes finds his way into the lineup, he is 2-6 with a homer against Newcomb.
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