Stick’s Picks – NFL FantasyDraft Week 7 GPP Targets

Stick’s Picks – NFL FantasyDraft Week 7 GPP Targets (Main Slate)

Thank goodness for Week 6’s shootout between the New England Patriots and the Kansas City Chiefs! They put up a total of 83 points and were the main reason I found a way to cash yet again in my GPP entries. Let’s keep the NFL FantasyDraft streak alive and find our way across the pay-line again this Sunday.

There are TONS of great plays for tournaments on the NFL FantasyDraft Week 7 main slate. Let’s get right to it.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter @sticks022 and @FantasyCPR for more fantasy football information. Thank you for reading and best of luck this week!

Based on looking through TeamRankings.com and reviewing the implied team totals for the Sunday main slate, here are the 5 team totals that caught my interest for DFS:

*these aren’t necessarily the 5 highest team totals on the board, as there are some that I am avoiding*

1. Kansas City Chiefs (31.8 points)
2. Los Angeles Rams (31 points)
3. Cincinatti Bengals (25.8 points)
4. New England Patriots (25.5 points)
5. Minnesota Vikings (24.8 points) *only interested in their passing game

For the most part, 90% of my GPP lineups will be constructed with players involved in the 5 games listed above. I’ll have a few random flyers that are in other games, but for the most part, I will be focusing on those teams for the majority of my roster construction.

NFL FantasyDraft GPP Quarterbacks:

Patrick Mahomes ($13,500)

They have the highest implied total on the board for Sunday’s games and Mahomes is averaging a ridiculous 29.5 fantasy points per game on FantasyDraft. If you can afford him, lock him in and enjoy another big night against a below-average Bengals’ pass defense.

On the other side, Andy Dalton is priced at $12,900…

Dalton is in an excellent matchup, but he is the 3rd most expensive quarterback on the slate. For only $600 more, just pay up for Mahomes.

Jared Goff ($12,900)

Goff broke my heart last week as he was my #1 QB play for the Week 6 main slate and only put up 8.4 fantasy points. Assuming that recency bias turns some DFS players away from rostering Goff in Week 7, he is a nice pivot for a top-tier fantasy quarterback.

The Rams have the second highest implied team total for Sunday, and the 49ers pass defense is awful. Vegas is expecting a huge game for the Rams’ offense and that is enough for me to buy-in.

Kirk Cousins ($12,000)

Kirk is my #1 QB play on the slate for Week 7. The Jets’ passing defense continues to struggle and I don’t see them righting the ship this Sunday. Over the past three weeks, the Jets passing defense has allowed an average of 355 passing yards and 2.6 touchdowns per game.

Kirk Cousins is poised for a huge day and we will leave it at that.

Mitch Trubisky ($11,200)

The second year quarterback for the Bears has been putting up some gaudy fantasy numbers over the past two weeks (46.5 in Week 4 and 31.3 in Week 6). Assuming the Patriots’ offense stays hot, Trubisky is going to have to throw a lot to keep them in the game and that should bode well for the Bears as the Patriots have had major issues on defense throughout the 2018 season.

The main thing I love about rostering Trubisky in DFS is that he has the ability to take off for 20+ yard rush at any given moment. He has averaged exactly 50 yards rushing over the past two weeks and is going to have to make some plays with his legs yet again in Week 7.

At a respectably low price point, Trubisky offers excellent value if you’re looking to pay down for your GPP quarterback.

Honorable Mention:

Tom Brady ($12,400)

Baker Mayfield ($10,900)

Joe Flacco ($10,600)

Blake Bortles ($10,200)

NFL FantasyDraft GPP Running Backs:

Todd Gurley ($18,900)

At this point, I don’t even look at how much it costs to roster Todd Gurley, I just lock him in. He is averaging an insane 31 fantasy points per game and is primed for another monster game on Sunday in San Francisco. Get him in your lineup.

Ezekiel Elliot ($15,600)

Elliot continues to be the #1, #2, and #3 option in the Dallas Cowboys offense. The Washington Redskins’ run defense has actually been respectable this season, but that doesn’t scare me away from getting Elliot into my lineups for Week 7.

Elliot is second in the NFL in total touches with 140 (only trailing Todd Gurley). In a PPR setup like FantasyDraft’s, I love to target players who are constantly getting touches. Zeke certainly fits that mold and should have no problem getting 25+ touches yet again in this matchup.

I have Elliot projected for 115 all purpose yards with at least one touchdown. He is easily the #2 RB on the board.

Alvin Kamara ($14,900)

I haven’t heard a lot of chatter in regards to Alvin Kamara this week and I like that a lot. It seems as if the DFS community is reluctant to get Kamara in their rosters this week as it was the Mark Ingram show the last time the Saints took the field in Week 5.

Do I hear a low-ownership weekend for Kamara? In a game where the total is currently at 50 points on TeamRankings.com, I’m all for getting shares of Alvin Kamara. He is simply too versatile to avoid. The Ravens do have a stingy run defense, but that shouldn’t have a major effect on Kamara’s upside as he can be used in so many different ways.

The Ravens have an implied team total of 26.2 points, so you know the Saints are going to have their foot on the gas pedal in order to keep this game close. I love Kamara’s chances at being a major focus in the New Orleans offense this week.

Joe Mixon ($14,200)

Getting lots of exposure to the Sunday Night Football matchup between the Chiefs and Bengals is a great idea for your DFS lineups in Week 7. This game has the highest total on the board for Week 7 and is certain to live up to the high scoring expectations.

The Chiefs’ defense ranks dead last against opposing running backs, and Joe Mixon continues to put up solid numbers in both the rushing and passing attack. I have Mixon projected for 105 all purpose yards and a touchdown. He is a top-5 play at the running back position this week.

Kareem Hunt ($13,900)

Hunt is another great place to pivot if you’re looking for exposure in the Sunday Night game and he is coming into this matchup off of his best game of the 2018 season. The thing I loved most about Hunt’s performance in Week 6 against the Patriots was his role in the Chiefs’ passing attack.

Hunt finally received some targets in the passing game and he certainly made the most of them when he turned 6 targets into 5 catches for 105 yards and a touchdown. Hopefully, Andy Reid continues to use Hunt as a dual-threat running back. If so, Hunt is in for a huge season down the stretch.

The Bengals run defense is nothing to be scared of so get Hunt into your lineups. I have him ranked as my #3 running back on the slate and expect 110+ all purpose yards with at least one touchdown.

Duke Johnson ($7,800)

Mid-way through writing this article, the news broke that Carlos Hyde was traded to Jacksonville. To me, that is incredible news for Duke Johnson. Naturally, this is going to open things up for Nick Chubb for the rest of the season, but he has yet to top 3 carries in an NFL game.

Assuming the Browns don’t dive right into Chubb being their feature back, Week 7 offers DFS players the value play of the year with Duke Johnson. FantasyDraft has him damn-near minimum price, and I will be locking him in to 85% of my GPP lineups.

In a week where I love a handful of top-tier players with expensive price tags, I can’t avoid Duke Johnson at $7,800. He may not offer a very high ceiling, but he is coming off of his best game of the season and will have no problem hitting value in a high-scoring matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Duke is by far my favorite value play in Week 7.

Honorable Mention:

Christian McCaffrey ($15,000)

James White ($12,200)

Chris Thompson ($10,900)

Tarik Cohen ($10,500)

Bilal Powell ($8,400)

NFL FantasyDraft GPP Wide Receivers:

Adam Thielen ($16,800)

I’m not sure what to say about Adam Thielen besides that he is an incredible NFL wide receiver. This dude has topped 100+ receiving yards EVERY SINGLE GAME this season… he also has 4 touchdowns.

His targets are through the roof, and will continue to be there again in Week 7. To further support Thielen’s case this week, Jets’ slot corner Buster Skrine has been ruled out with a concussion. Thielen has been unstoppable in 2018 and is entering his best matchup of the season. Does he top 150 yards this week?

Whatever Thielen ends up with this week, it will be worth his price tag. He is by far the #1 wide receiver on my board this week.

I also love Stefon Diggs ($13,600) this week and will have a few Kirk-Thielen-Diggs mini-stacks, as there is just no way the Jets can contain the Minnesota passing attack.

AJ Green ($15,400)

Get exposure to this Sunday Night Football game! If you can afford A.J. after paying up for Gurley and others, lock him in with confidence. There is no one on the Chiefs’ defense who can handle Green’s talent, and they continue to be torched through the air on a weekly basis.

Green is easily a top-5 wide receiver on this slate.

Tyreek Hill ($15,300)

Tyreek Hill is flat-out special. He is coming off of a 142 yard, 3 touchdown performance against the New England Patriots and enters another nice matchup against the Bengals this week. Yes, the Bengals’ passing defense is significantly better than that of New England’s, but it appears Tyreek Hill is matchup-proof.

Bengals’ corner, William Jackson is definitely one of the faster corner-backs in the NFL, and if anyone was going to be able to keep up with Tyreek, it would be him. The thing about Hill is that he is used in so many different ways. It is never just a game of go-routes or slants.

Per usual, Tyreek is going to be all over the field on Sunday night. My guess is that the Bengals try to run some sort of 2-man zone on Hill or a cover-six in hopes to contain him, and just assign Jackson the duty of shadowing Sammy Watkins.

At least that’s what I would do if I were the Bengals’ defensive coordinator. Have Jackson follow Watkins everywhere to limit his production, and constantly have two players keying on Tyreek Hill.

Regardless of what the Bengals defensive game-plan is, Hill is a top-5 play this week due to ridiculous upside.

Brandin Cooks ($13,100)

I’ve mentioned earlier how much I love Goff/Gurley this week… Brandin Cooks will be the third piece of Rams mini-stacks. With Cooper Kupp officially ruled out for this game against a brutal 49ers passing defense, I love Cooks in this matchup.

He has the speed to absolutely burn this pass defense, and I’m hopeful they move Cooks all over the field to fill in on some of the underneath routes that are usually tasked to Cooper Kupp. If this happens, Cooks is in line for a 10+ target game and is very likely to find his way into the end zone.

Julian Edelman ($11,600) & Josh Gordon ($10,100)

I LOVE the New England pass catchers this week. If there’s one way to beat the Bears, it’s through the air. If I had to choose one of their receivers, I’d go with Gordon as he will see a lot of Prince Amukamara and should have no issue beating him on a consistent basis. I have him projected for 95 yards and a touchdown.

Edelman should also have a busy day moving all around the field and is a safe bet to see 8+ targets. He is an excellent play in all PPR formats in Week 7. I think this game has the ability to become a shootout and that should play into the favor of these Pats’ wide receivers.

Honorable Mention:

Robert Woods ($13,900)

Jarvis Landry ($13,700)

Tyler Boyd ($13,300)

DeAndre Hopkins ($13,000)

Kenny Golladay ($11,500)

Allen Robinson ($11,400)

Marquise Goodwin ($9,100)

Chris Hogan ($7,400)

Anthony Miller ($6,600)

NFL FantasyDraft GPP Tight Ends:

Honestly, there are so many great plays at the tight end position this weekend that I’m just going to get exposure to many of them. I have a lot of focus on locking in Gurley/Zeke/Hunt/Thielen or Gurley/Kamara/Hunt that I find myself paying down at the position more times than not, but I will have a few lineups where I’ll pay up for tight end as it’s going to be a great spot to be contrarian.

I’m not going to write a whole lot about these players, but have confidence in each and every one of them as they are all primed for solid fantasy performances.

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Zach Ertz ($13,300)

Ertz is consistently the most heavily targeted receiver in the Eagles’ passing offense with plenty of touchdown upside. Assuming many players pay up elsewhere on the slate, Ertz should come in around 10% ownership, if not less. Personally, I cannot afford him in most lineups… but I wish I could.

Travis Kelce ($12,500)

I touched base earlier on how much of a threat Tyreek Hill is on a weekly basis. Assuming the Bengals #1 focus on defense is to shut down Hill, there should be plenty of opportunities for Kelce to shine. He is my #1 ranked tight end for Week 7.

Rob Gronkowski ($11,500)

Gronkowski being the #3 priced tight end is music to my ears. Gronk is due for a touchdown and will have a huge role in the Patriots’ offense on Sunday. He is my favorite play at the position out of the top-tier players.

Trey Burton ($8,000) 

If this game becomes a shootout like I expect, Burton should be in for his best game of the season. The Patriots struggle with stopping the tight end and Burton should see 8+ targets for the first time this season.

David Njoku ($8,000)

Njoku is coming off of back to back 10+ target games and is going up against a defense that absolutely bleeds fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Njoku should have his best game of the season, but he is going to have insanely high ownership this week.

I wouldn’t 100% avoid him, but if he somehow lays an egg, a lot of DFS players are going to miss the pay line. In my opinion, he is more of a cash game play, but it’s hard to not get excited about this matchup.

CJ Uzomah ($6,500)

This guy definitely passes the “eye-test” in regards to talent and pass catching ability. He received 7 targets in Week 6 in his first game as the only option at tight end for the Bengals and should continue to get a heavy share of targets. I love stacking this KC/CIN game, so why not pay down for Uzomah?

Uzomah is my #1 value play at the tight end position.

Honorable Mention:

Eric Ebron ($10,100)

George Kittle ($9,300)

Jordan Reed ($8,900)

OJ Howard ($7,000)

** This is a great week to roster 2 tight ends in your GPP lineups

NFL FantasyDraft GPP Sample Lineup:

I’m not going to write anything about the DST position. I like paying up at the skill positions this week too much to mention any high priced DST’s. I will be paying down at the DST position in all my lineups.

If I had to choose one lower-priced defense, it would be the Detroit Lions ($4,600).

QB: Kirk Cousins

RB: Todd Gurley

RB: Kareem Hunt

WR: Stefon Diggs

WR: Willie Snead

TE: C.J. Uzomah

FLEX: David Njoku

FLEX: Alvin Kamara

DST: Carolina Panthers

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