Daily Fantasy Football: Week Thirteen at Yahoo
By Raju Byfield
Rizzla discusses his week thirteen Yahoo Daily Fantasy Football: NFL Yahoo Cup Daily Fantasy Football lineup.
Daily Fantasy Football: Week Thirteen at Yahoo
With the bye weeks finally over the Daily Fantasy Football bargain window is back open for business.
If you find yourself on the outside looking in at your redraft leagues’ playoff race, now is as good a time as ever to give daily fantasy sports a try. Yahoo has weekly free contests that award real cash and can easily be accessed using your existing yahoo fantasy sports profile.
As is often the case I like to start my week reflecting on the lessons learned from my misses in my week twelve Yahoo Fantasy Cup lineup. My biggest lineup blunders included plugging in the Jacksonville Jaguars defense who netted me exactly zero points and George Kittle who put up a disappointing 8.8 points.
In the case of the Jacksonville Jaguars, they were just an outright disappointment and even found a way to lose the game. The Jags had zero sacks and zero interceptions in a plus matchup which makes me weary enough to look elsewhere for the rest of the season. Having a zero point dud at the end of my lineup for the second consecutive week is a disturbing proposition.
George Kittle on the other hand had a 12 target, seven touch afternoon but was only able to parlay that into 58 yards from scrimmage. Kittle is an absolute beast after the catch and while he was not able to get it going last week I will not shy away from ranking him as an elite tight end option weekly or from plugging him into future DFS contests at the right value.
For this week’s NFL Yahoo Cup free roll I followed my usual strategy of filling defense, tight end and quarterback first by identifying the best potential values and then doing the same for both running back and receiver.
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Kirk Cousins ($29 Salary; 18th salary rank; 9th personal rank)
My ninth overall quarterback for week thirteen, Kirk Cousins squares off against a New England Patriots defense allowing the ninth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. The Pats have allowed a cool 297 yards and 2.4 touchdowns per game to the QB1’s they have faced this season and now have to contend with one of the best receiving duos in football and Kirk Cousins sporting an obvious much improved rapport with star wideout Stefon Diggs. Cousins screams value based on his $19 price tag and was an easy selection since I wanted to find a bargain at QB.
Aaron Jones ($26 Salary; 10th salary rank; 7th personal rank)
An RB1 over the second half of the season, Aaron Jones faces off against a Arizona Cardinals defense giving up the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs. The Cards have allowed the third most rushing yards against and the most touchdowns against at a generous 4.5 yards per carry. Further solidifying Jones as a top play this week is the fact that the Cardinals are allowing 132 rushing yards and 1.3 touchdowns on the ground and five receptions for 44 yards to enemy backs on the season. With Aaron Jones now manning a featured back role for the Packers he should be in line to threaten 150 yards from scrimmage with at least one score in this contest.
Chris Carson ($19 Salary; 25th salary rank; 17th personal rank)
Chris Carson has a tough matchup on paper against a San Francisco 49ers defense relinquishing the fifteenth fewest fantasy points to enemy backs. Allowing 81 yards rushing and six receptions for 49.5 yards per contest, there is some room for Carson to make his mark this week. The Seattle Seahawks come into this contest as ten point favorites which is good news for Carson as he is averaging 15 yahoo dfs fantasy points per game in the Seahawks last three wins. My ranking of Carson as my seventeenth overall running back for week thirteen is all about game script as the Seahawks should jump out to an early lead and give Carson all the touches he can handle.
Emmanuel Sanders ($25 Salary; 17th salary; 8th personal rank)
Emmanuel Sanders has a plus matchup this week against a Cincinnati Bengals defense giving up the twelfth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. The Bengals have surrendered the second most passing yards against and the most total touchdowns on the season which is welcomed news since Manny still has to deal with Case Keenum at quarterback. The Bengals have been devastated by the talented receivers they have faced this season giving up 6.1 receptions, 102 receiving yards and 0.77 touchdowns per game. Sanders will see significant action in the slot in this contest where he has a glaring matchup advantage against Darqueze Dennard who has given up a 73 percent catch rate on the season.
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($26 Salary; 16th salary rank; 10th personal rank)
JuJu has a tougher matchup this week against a Los Angeles Chargers defense allowing the thirteenth fewest fantasy points to opposing wideouts. A deeper dive into their numbers reveals that the Chargers have only faced five WR1 types on the season, and three of them came in one contest. The Chargers allowed 6.4 receptions, 98 receiving yards and 0.8 touchdowns to the aforementioned receivers and have proven to be susceptible to giving up big games to teams with multiple ‘top talent’ wideouts. JuJu himself does not have a plus matchup on paper against the Chargers Desmond King but should still see plenty of targets with Antonio Brown expected to have Casey Hayward glued all over him this Sunday. The Steelers will also likely give Ryan Switzer some more slot snaps as they move JuJu around the line of scrimmage in order to find advantageous opportunities.
TY Hilton ($16 Salary; 44th salary rank; 20th personal rank)
TY Hilton looks like a solid value this week at a $16 price tag despite going up against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense allowing the fifth fewest fantasy points to enemy wide receivers. With Jalen Ramsey being listed as doubtful early in the week we can surmise that he will be playing at far less than 100 percent if he does suit up. In their previous meeting this year Hilton managed 77 yards receiving and that was with a healthy Ramsey and a still struggling Andrew Luck. If that is not enough to get you on board with Hilton’s upside this week he is actually ranked as having a plus matchup according to PFF’s WR/CB metric and has one of the hottest quarterbacks in the league in Luck under center. Roll with Hilton if looking for a mega upside at this price point.
Cameron Brate ($18 Salary; 8th salary rank; 9th personal rank)
Cameron Brate has a tremendous matchup this week against a Carolina Panthers defense giving up the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. The Panthers gave up a combined seven receptions, 68 receiving yards and two touchdowns to the Buccaneers tight ends when they met in week nine giving Brate an obvious TE1 ceiling in this matchup. With OJ Howard now on injured reserve Cameron Brate will receive the lion’s share of the snaps and targets and should be in line for a massive game as the 3.5 point underdog Bucs look to keep pace with the Panthers. Brate has an argument to be as high as sixth in my week thirteen rankings and I view all those options as having similar upsides and projections this week.
Phillip Lindsay ($28 Salary; 9th salary rank; 9th personal rank)
My ninth overall running back for week thirteen, Phillip Lindsay has a cake matchup versus a Cincinnati Bengals defense surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing running backs. The Bengals have been gashed on the ground this season giving up 4.7 yards per carry, the second most rushing yards allowed and third most total rushing touchdowns. On a per game basis the Bengals have relinquished 118 rushing yards and touchdown with 5.6 receptions and 53 yards receiving. Drilling down even further the Bengals have allowed 104.1 rushing yards and a touchdown per game on the ground to the RB1 types they have faced this season (125 if we combine Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara’s yards) at a whopping 5.43 yards per carry; the latter of which presents huge appeal to the NFL’s second overall back at 5.8 yards per carry.
Los Angeles Chargers ($12 Salary)
The Chargers have a tough paper matchup against a Pittsburgh Steelers offense allowing the sixth fewest fantasy points to opposing defensive units. This play is all about sacks and picks and not at all to do with limiting points against. With Joey Bosa once again healthy the Chargers defense is a different beast entirely and could have their way with a quarterback that likes to use his feet to adlib and extend plays. The Steelers have allowed at least two sacks and two picks a game over their past two contests and are in danger of seeing those numbers topped this week against a revitalized Chargers D. I absolutely love the Chargers at this price point as a solid value play.
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