DraftKings NBA Picks February 2: Get Freaky on the Wizards

We have a giant 11 game Saturday slate for our DraftKings NBA tournaments. The Detroit-Clippers game was chopped off and has its own showdown slate. Unfortunately, Blake vs. the Clippers part 2 is off the main slate, but we still have a whole bunch of things to look at. There is massive value for the Pelicans again. Which stars should we pay up for? Let’s check it out.

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Ben Simmons ($9,200): It’s finally happened. I have zero interest in James Harden. His average against Utah so far this year is just 33.6 DraftKings points per game. And on the second night of a back to back? No thanks. Even if Paul sits, I don’t see Harden dropping 65, which is what you need for 5x value. Curry’s average against the Lakers is in that neighborhood as well. Simmons is the one that stands out here against a Kings team that doesn’t play defense and loves to run. There is blowout potential here, but Simmons could still hit value. I kind of think the Kings might hang around at home. If they do, Simmons could put up massive numbers.

Jrue Holiday ($9,100): One would think that with most of the Pelicans hurt that Jrue would be carrying the bulk of the load. That’s hasn’t been the case. Holiday still has good numbers over that span, but nothing that jumps out and says we must play him. Holiday has averaged 44.6 DraftKings points in three games against the Spurs this year. He is a strong bet for 5x value here again.

Kemba Walker ($8,600): Kemba has put up 90.25 DraftKings points in just 61 minutes against the Bulls this year. Blowout or not, it certainly looks like Kemba is going to get his fair share. He is the key to the Charlotte offense, but Walker’s floor is in the high 20’s. That makes him a bit of a risk if you’re going to pay this kind of premium.

Honorable Mention:

Trae Young ($7,500): There is a whole lot of potential here for Young against a Suns team that doesn’t defend well. Young’s West Coast swing has been outstanding with him putting up 129.25 DraftKings points against the Blazers, Clippers, and Kings. I expect another strong showing tonight.

Eric Bledsoe ($6,900): Bledsoe torched the Wizards for 48 DraftKings points in just 28 minutes in the first meeting this year. After a tough middle of January, Bledsoe closed the month strong with back to back games of more than 40 DraftKings points. All signs point to that streak extending to three tonight.

Ricky Rubio ($6,100): Rubio could be a solid under the radar play with Chris Paul likely sitting this one out. Rubio’s average against the Rockets is nothing to write home about, but that is mostly because the first meeting was so bad. There is decent upside here for Rubio. Just keep an ear to the trade wire. Rubio’s name was being thrown around last night concerning Mike Conley.

Dark Horses:

Derrick White ($5,700): White is figuring this NBA thing out. He put up a career high 45.75 DraftKings points in just 25 minutes against the Nets on Thursday. That was the fifth straight game of double digit scoring for White. This is another good matchup for him here against the Pelicans with Payton out. The Pelicans are running a skeleton crew again, but they have still managed to hang around. It White plays over 30 minutes, he should clear 6x value.

Tomas Satoransky ($5,600): Satoransky posted his first, and only, career triple double against the Wizards in the first meeting last month. I’m not saying that he is going to put up another triple double tonight, but I do like the upside here. It may have been a fluke, but Satoransky has topped 40 DraftKings points a couple of times since then. There is still value here.

Jerryd Bayless ($5,400): Teague has already been ruled out, and I would be kind of surprised if Rose played. That would open up another start for Bayless, who has five straight games of more than 6x value. Not just 5x…..6x! If Bayless starts, play him!

Tim Frazier ($3,800): Frazier has been starting with Payton out. Payton is sidelined again tonight, so roll Frazier out there. Frazier has 58 DraftKings points in just 41 minutes over the last two games. Frank Jackson may be getting as much or more run, but Frazier is the one you want for fantasy purposes.

My pick: Bayless(PG), Frazier(G)

DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

Devin Booker ($8,800): The Hawks are what the Suns would be if they tried. Both teams are really young and have some intriguing players. Booker is definitely one of those. The Hawks don’t defend the perimeter well at all, so the potential is here for Booker to have a massive game. The Suns are still beat up all over the place. Booker is about the only source of offense for the Suns right now.

Donovan Mitchell ($8,700): Mitchell has at least 20 points in 13 straight games. It’s safe to say his prolonged slump to start the season is over. Mitchell is still the driving force of the offense. There is a lot of potential here against the Houston guards. Mitchell has averaged 38 DraftKings points per game in the first three meetings with Houston. However, in the last meeting Mitchell put up 45.

Honorable Mention:

D’Angelo Russell ($8,200): This is another one of those stats be damned crossroads we find ourselves at. Orlando has allowed the sixth fewest fantasy points to shooting guards, but Russell has destroyed them for 112.75 DraftKings points in 67 minutes over two games this year. Russell’s price is a bit of a discount since he’s playing the Magic. It’s awfully tempting to take a shot with him here.

Zach LaVine ($7,200): Reports so far are saying that LaVine will play. If he does, this is a really good spot for him. LaVine has 75 DraftKings points in two games against Charlotte this year. He also has a string of seven straight games of more than 33 DraftKings points. That’s a strong floor and adequate upside if you have room for a mid range player in your lineup.

Dark Horses:

Shabazz Napier ($5,500): Napier picked up a season high in assists and a career high in blocks on Thursday to supplement his lack of scoring. Napier has been a strong value pick since Dinwiddie went down. There really isn’t any reason for that to change. Napier is getting plenty of run and his price isn’t really going up.

Jordan Clarkson ($5,100): Dallas is going to be shorthanded again tonight as THJ and Courtney Lee aren’t slated to make their Dallas debut just yet. That could open up value for some Cleveland shooters. I like this less if somehow Clarkson gets saddled with Doncic, but there still may be enough upside to throw him out there anyway.

Malik Beasley ($4,400): Here’s a quick quiz for you: Who led the Rockets-Nuggets game in scoring last night? Harden? Nope. He got 30 again, but he was second. Jokic? Nope. He should have had a triple double (thanks Juancho!), but he was third overall in scoring. It was Beasley with 35 points. There’s a new Beastley in town. I don’t care if Harris is out or not. Beasley is going to get run.

My pick: Beasley(SG)

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

LeBron James ($10,800): James played 40 minutes in his return to the court on Thursday night. It was important for him to play that game so he wont feel limited against the champs. This is normally the time that LeBron would take over and dominate. He did on Christmas, racking up 43.25 DraftKings points in just 21 minutes on the Warriors before straining his groin in the third quarter of that game. I see no reason to shy away from the King here.

Kevin Durant ($9,300): This is a good matchup for KD, but the Warriors are all trying to redefine their roles with Boogie in the mix. The team is a lot better as a whole, but as for who will succeed for DFS purposes, we are still trying to figure that out. Durant has 82.25 DraftKings points in 66 minutes against the Lakers so far this year, so I understand a fade here.

Honorable Mention:

Luka Doncic ($8,300): Doncic’s usage rate is enormous with Dennis Smith, Wesley Matthews, and DeAndre Jordan off the court. All of the bench players that came up big for Dallas on Thursday are likely going to be overshadowed by Doncic here. There is a very real possibility that he beats Cleveland by himself.

Kelly Oubre ($5,900): The Suns are still letting Oubre run with 30 minutes per game. He has responded with a dozen straight games of 25 or more DraftKings points. Oubre is a pretty low risk option here. He put up 31.25 DraftKings points in the first game against the Hawks in just 24 minutes while a member of the Wizards. Expect the same kind of production tonight.

Harrison Barnes ($5,800): Barnes took over for Dallas on Thursday since he was the only regular starter in the starting lineup. His usage is going to go way down tonight from what it was on Thursday, but at this price, I can still argue that Barnes is a strong play. It’s Doncic, Barnes, and not much else for Dallas tonight.

Cedi Osman ($5,800): Osman has been outstanding lately, putting up 167.75 DraftKings points over the last four games. It took a while, but Osman has capitalized on the promise that he showed last year while LeBron was hurt. This is his team now with Love still not close to a return.

Dark Horses:

Nicolas Batum ($5,000): Batum has 59.75 DraftKings points in two games against the Bulls this year. Batum has eight straight games of more than 20 DraftKings points, so he looks safe to use. There isn’t a ton of upside here, but there is a lot to like for Batum against the Bulls.

Kevin Huerter ($4,400): Hueter has back to back games of 29 DraftKings points. Last night’s was against a good Utah team. Phoenix is pretty good against small forwards, but Huerter still looks like a great value here. If he hits 29 DraftKings points again, that’s good for 7x value.

Kenrich Williams ($4,100): Having Williams this cheap feels like larceny. Williams has 72 DraftKings points over the last two games. New Orleans is still without Payton, E’Twaun Moore, Davis, and Randle. There is a clear path to minutes here, and Williams looks ready to crush value again. Who doesn’t want 10x value at any price? It’s no surprise that Mack was in the winning lineup last night. He hit 11x value!

Andre Iguodala ($3,800): Heeeeere’s Iggy! Iguodala has 53 DraftKings points in the two games against the Lakers this year. There isn’t a lot of risk for Iguodala. He’s pretty much guaranteed to play half the game no matter how much the Warriors end up winning by.

My pick: Barnes(SF), Osman(F), Williams(UTIL)

DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,900): The Wizards remain one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Giannis missed the first game against them which explains why Bledsoe and Middleton had big games. Tonight Giannis is going to dominate the Wizards. The only question is whether he gets to play 28 or 38 minutes. There is massive blowout potential here despite the Bucks only being favored by six.

LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,100): LMA’s production took a hit with the return of DeRozan, but this looks like a good place to roll him out there again. Aldridge has averaged 38.7 DraftKings points in three games against the Pelicans this year. The difference is that this time around he wont have to deal with Davis or Randle. Aldridge should be able to dominate this game. Can he?

Honorable Mention:

Lauri Markkanen ($7,100): Markkanen is in a good position here against a mostly undersized Charlotte front. Markkanen is starting to pick up his production lately, putting up at least 5x value in three straight games. He should be able to do the same here. If Markkanen starts hitting shots more near his career rates, he could be in for a really nice game here.

Bobby Portis ($5,700): The Bulls are insisting on starting Robin Lopez at center, which really limits the upside of Portis. His minutes are only about 25 per game. While Portis has proven time and again that he can put up good numbers in limited minutes, it really caps his upside. This is a high upside game, but I’m really only interested in Portis is he gets back in the starting lineup.

Josh Jackson ($5,600): Jackson has played well filling in for Warren. Warren is still out, so Jackson will continue to start. This is a big spot for Jackson against the Hawks, but Jackson is pretty undersized for a four in this league, especially when you consider how big the Hawks are up front. There is still upside here, but probably not enough for me to be crazy about Jackson.

Dark Horses:

Marvin Bagley ($5,300): The Kings are finally getting Bagley’s minutes back up there, and the rookie has responded in a big way. Bagley has 136.25 DraftKings points over the last four games. Bagley is well worth the price here. If Philly has a weak spot, it’s power forward.

Jonathan Isaac ($5,100): With Aaron Gordon struggling mightily right now, Isaac’s strong play couldn’t come at a better time for the Magic. Isaac has three straight games of more than 5x value at this price. There is a lot of potential against the Nets tonight, but one of his teammates is really going to overshadow him.

Darius Miller ($4,400): Miller has been outstanding with Randle and Davis out. He has 122 DraftKings points in the four games with both of those guys out. They are both out again tonight, so expect another strong outing from Miller.

My pick: Antetokounmpo(PF)

DraftKings NBA Centers:

Best Bets:

Joel Embiid ($10,700): Embiid has the most upside of any Philly player because of how weak the Kings are on the interior. If it weren’t for Giannis, Embiid would easily be the best play of the night. As of now, they are pretty even. Vegas does expect this game to be close. If it stays close, there is huge upside for Embiid in particular and Simmons as well.

Nikola Jokic ($9,800): HE’S PLAYING THE NETS! You know, a team that Vucevic has 108.25 DraftKings points against in just 65 minutes this season. I wouldn’t be shocked if Jokic ended up outscoring Embiid tonight.

Honorable Mention:

Jahlil Okafor ($7,000): Okafor has been superb with Anthony Davis out. He has 235.25 DraftKings points in the six games A.D. (after Davis). That’s about 6x value for Okafor even at this price. The Spurs aren’t the team that they used to be up front. There is still enough upside to consider Okafor here tonight.

Deandre Ayton ($6,800): I have the suspicion here that the Suns will limit Ayton if he does play. That said, this is the Hawks. There is good potential on Ayton here even if he only plays around half the game. That does cap Ayton’s upside though. That’s enough to steer me away.

DeMarcus Cousins ($6,700): Boogie put up 26.25 DraftKings points in 21 minutes against the Lakers the first time around. Since then, Cousins has four straight games of more than 30 DraftKings points. He’s still only playing about 25 minutes per game, but Cousins has proven that he can put up big numbers in small minutes.

Dark Horses:

Dewayne Dedmon ($5,800): Ayton should be back tonight, but they still don’t defend the front well no matter what. Collins is a big risk at his price, but Dedmon is priced nicely here. Even though he only sees about 28 minutes per game, this is a place where Dedmon can put up well over 30 DraftKings points.

Dwight Powell/Maxi Kleber ($4,400; $4,100): There is big value in the Dallas froncourt again. These two pretty much split the minutes right down the middle on Thursday. Powell did more with his minutes than Kleber did, but neither of them are a bad play.

My pick: Vucevic(C)

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