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NFL DFS game by game breakdown: Week 3

By Joe Metz

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - SEPTEMBER 08: Dalvin Cook #33 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 8, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings defeated the Falcons 28-12. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - SEPTEMBER 08: Dalvin Cook #33 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 8, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings defeated the Falcons 28-12. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) /
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SEATTLE, WA – SEPTEMBER 08: Tyler Lockett #16 of the Seattle Seahawks catches a 44 yard touchdown against Cincinnati Bengals in the fourth quarter at CenturyLink Field on September 8, 2019 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Lindsey Wasson/Getty Images) /

NFL DFS: New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

New Orleans Saints

With the loss of Drew Brees, it’ll be interesting to see what happens to this Saints offense. If last week is any indication, it doesn’t look too good. After receiving a workhorse role in week 1, Alvin Kamara had a dismal week 2, averaging 3.46 yards per carry on 13 attempts and only recording 3 targets from Teddy Bridgewater. I do fully expect his involvement in the passing game to normalize a bit, but the struggles to move the chains with Bridgewater behind the helm relegate Kamara to the GPP-only realm until we see the consistency we hope for.

Michael Thomas also sees a huge hit going from a deadly-accurate quarterback to an erratic backup. He still saw 13 targets last week, catching 10 of them which mirrored his week 1 performance, but the yardage is sure to go down. After averaging 12.3 yards per reception in week 1, it dropped to 8.9 in week 2. We could very-well see Bridgewater force-feed Thomas early and often, but I’m most comfortable with him in GPPs against a strong Seattle secondary.

The other pass catchers Jared Cook, Tre’Quan Smith and Ted Ginn were too erratic to trust with Brees, so there’s really no reason to look here at all this week with Bridgewater leading the charge.

Cash Plays: none

GPP Plays: Kamara, Thomas

Seattle Seahawks

Chris Carson is continuing to get every opportunity in the world to run away with the starting gig, but 3 fumbles in 2 games aren’t helping his case. Even so, he’s seen 30 rushing attempts compared to Penny’s 16 and 10 targets compared to Penny’s 3. If he can hang onto the ball in this game, he could be a phenomenal play in what should be a positive game environment.

The receiving game looked a bit different than week 1, as Tyler Lockett recorded 13 targets compared to only 2 in week 1. He should continue to hog targets as Russell Wilson‘s favorite target and draws an exploitable matchup against a secondary that ranked 22nd in the league in pass DVOA last season. D.K. Metcalf also stands to benefit from this matchup as his 16.7 yard aDOT leads the Seahawks. He’s tied for 1st on the team in target share (25.42%) with Lockett, showing that Wilson already has a high level of trust in him.

Wilson himself is hard to endorse in cash games given the heap of other options, but if there was a matchup to use him in, New Orleans is the spot. They’ve allowed the 6th most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks through the first two weeks and allowed the 2nd most in the league last season.

Cash Plays: Wilson, Carson, Lockett

GPP Plays: Metcalf, Seahawks D/ST

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