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EPL DFS breakdown – Saturday 9/28/2019

By Vince Dray

EPL DFS: MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 21: Sergio Aguero of Man City celebrates after scoring their 2nd goal during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Watford FC at the Etihad Stadium on September 21, 2019 in Manchester, United Kingdom. (Photo by Simon Stacpoole/Offside/Offside via Getty Images )
EPL DFS: MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 21: Sergio Aguero of Man City celebrates after scoring their 2nd goal during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Watford FC at the Etihad Stadium on September 21, 2019 in Manchester, United Kingdom. (Photo by Simon Stacpoole/Offside/Offside via Getty Images ) /
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EPL DFS
EPL DFS: SHEFFIELD, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 24: A general view of Hillsborough before the Carabao Cup Third Round match between Sheffield Wednesday and Everton at Hillsborough on September 24, 2019 in Sheffield, England. (Photo by Tony McArdle/Everton FC via Getty Images) /

After a full week of EFL games, the Premier League teams all take the field again this weekend.  There is a large 7-game main slate on FanDuel Saturday, and I’m bringing you all the advice you need in my EPL DFS Breakdown.

You guessed it.  Manchester City (-1.5) once again returns as the slate’s largest favorite on the road against Everton (they’re the only road team favored on Saturday).  Unlike past weeks, this City game only has a goal total of 3.0.  When combined with their away match-up against a halfway decent Everton squad, this doesn’t scream full EPL DFS stack to me.

Chelsea (home against Brighton) and Tottenham (home against Southampton) are both -1.0 in games that also have a 3.0 goal total.  Having three big clubs all as similar favorites makes me lean towards having a lineup with balanced exposure on this slate.

Wolverhampton (home against Watford) and Crystal Palace (home against Norwich) are both 0.5 goal favorites on Saturday.  Again, both of these games that the same modest 2.5 goal total.  None of these four teams are enticing in a stack, but don’t only play guys on MCI/CHE/TOT and overlook these games either.

The slate’s two smallest favorites are Aston Villa (-0.5) and Bournemouth (-0.5) both at home against Burnley and West Ham, respectively.  The over/under is higher (3.0) in the Bournemouth game with their ability to score at home than it is in the Aston Villa game (2.5).

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