EPL DFS Breakdown – Sunday 10/20/19

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 02: Trent Alexander-Arnold of FC Liverpool controls the ball during the UEFA Champions League group E match between Liverpool FC and RB Salzburg at Anfield on October 2, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by TF-Images/Getty Images)
LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 02: Trent Alexander-Arnold of FC Liverpool controls the ball during the UEFA Champions League group E match between Liverpool FC and RB Salzburg at Anfield on October 2, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by TF-Images/Getty Images) /
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Manchester United’s Paul Pogba before the Premier League match at Anfield, Liverpool. (Photo by Peter Byrne/PA Images via Getty Images) EPL DFS
Manchester United’s Paul Pogba before the Premier League match at Anfield, Liverpool. (Photo by Peter Byrne/PA Images via Getty Images) EPL DFS /

With 8 Saturday games this week, that only leaves us a single game EPL DFS Breakdown for Sunday.  I have not written up a single game in a while, but since we have two clubs with large American fanbases, I figured why not.

The spread for this game opened at Liverpool -0.5 which seems like a great bet if you were lucky enough to get in early.  However, it has since moved to Liverpool -1.0.  That still seems like a solid bet considering how well Liverpool is playing right now and how poor and banged up Manchester United are.  However, Manchester United is a tough home opponent, so the safer bet would be Liverpool money line (-145).

The goal total is lower than what you would expect from a Liverpool game at only 2.5.  That is a product of the fact that United doesn’t give up many goals at Old Trafford.  Plus, their attackers are not firing on all cylinders right now.  Three of the 4 most likely outcomes (1-1, 0-1, 0-2) are under the goal total.

Paul Pogba and David de Gea will be out for Manchester United, with a whole host of players including Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Anthony Martial, Luke Shaw, Jesse Lingard, and Victor Lindelof all possibly back in the starting XI.  It will be crucial to check their starting lineup Sunday morning.

Liverpool is largely healthy aside from Mo Salah.  It sounds like he’ll be playing, but Adam Lallana or Alex Oxlade-Chamberlin would slide into his spot if needed.

I’ll have updates on injuries and other team news leading up to this game on my Twitter (@vdray5).  Let’s get to the meat of this EPL DFS Breakdown.