DraftKings NBA picks December 6: Can Giannis dominate again?
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings NBA Point Guards:
Best Bets:
Devonte Graham ($8,300): I’m to the point now where I would play Graham over both Lillard and LeBron. Lillard is a solid choice against the Lakers, and if you have cash to burn, go for it. Graham has been far more consistent than Lillard, and he’s quite a bit cheaper. DraftKings has finally started to raise Graham’s price to where we have to think about. Until he cools off though, I’ll keep using him, though he has very little upside in this price range.
Spencer Dinwiddie ($8,200): Dinwiddie was right at 5x value in the first meeting with Charlotte. I would trust Dinwiddie over Graham simply because he’s been there before and Dinwiddie has had more ceiling games. Neither are a bad pick. I just see Dinwiddie as more reliable.
Malcolm Brogdon ($7,300): The struggles against Oklahoma City are a bit concerning, but the price drop more than compensates for that. Brogdon had six straight games of 35 or more DraftKings points before the poor shooting night in Oklahoma City. The Pacers have already played Detroit three times this year. Brogdon has a lofty 38.8 DraftKings point per game average against them with no real highs or lows. He’s a safe bet for 6x value.
Honorable Mention:
Tomas Satoransky ($6,000): You may look at the price and think it’s high, but not really. Satoransky has at least 5x value at this price in four of the last six games. The best one of those was against the Warriors, tonight’s opponent, when he racked up 41.75 DraftKings points. His minutes have been in the low 30’s and the DraftKings points are right around there. I’ll take it.
Markelle Fultz ($5,600): Fultz has carved out a nice role for himself in Orlando. There isn’t any one thing he does that stands out, but he contributes across the board. That gives him a nice floor should he hit one of the many rough patches that plagued him last year. He looks like a different player in Orlando though. I don’t see many of those happening. I do see his very consistent play continuing though.
Rajon Rondo ($5,300): Good things happen when the Lakers use Rondo. They have played him a combined 57 minutes over the last two games. Rondo has racked up 78.25 DraftKings points in that time. Look, I know LeBron wants to run this team from the point because no one else would let him do it, but they are clearly better with Rondo running the point. LeBron is a good point guard, but Rondo could help make this team really special.
Dark Horse:
Jarrett Culver ($5,100): The Timberwolves have made the switch to Culver as the starting point guard, and while he has done well in the role, the team itself hasn’t been that great. Culver is not the distributor that Teague is, and unless he grows into that role, it’s going to be an issue. He looked the part against Dallas, but the Timberwolves still lost. I love the matchup against the Thunder though.
Patrick Beverley ($4,800): Beverley lit up the Bucks in the first meeting, but unless Kawhi sits, his production is sporadic at best. His price is low enough that if Beverley only gets his floor of 20 that it’s not going to fill our line. You can’t win with that, but Beverley shouldn’t lose you a tournament either.
Ish Smith ($3,600): Smith had been outplaying Thomas anyway, so me using him is nothing new. I did lay off against the good Orlando and Clippers defenses because the lack of minutes made it hard for him to hit value. That’s not the case anymore. Miami has allowed the least fantasy points to point guards, but if Smith plays 30 minutes again, he’s hitting 7x value on the low end. He’s the punt of the night in any format.