DraftKings NBA picks March 7: Curry messes up your night

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA - FEBRUARY 25: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after a play against the Charlotte Hornets during their game at Spectrum Center on February 25, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA - FEBRUARY 25: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after a play against the Charlotte Hornets during their game at Spectrum Center on February 25, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings NBA
HOUSTON, TX – MARCH 30: De’Aaron Fox #5 of the Sacramento Kings reacts in the first half against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on March 30, 2019 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Damian Lillard ($9,600): Lillard still feels a bit overpriced, but it’s a small slate and he has torched the Kings this year. Lillard has 150.25 DraftKings points in the three games against the Kings so far. Portland may hold him out since it seems they are easing him back into things. However, if Lillard is out there he is worth a look.

Stephen Curry ($8,000): Even if Curry is on a minutes limit again, it doesn’t matter. He put up 42 DraftKings points in 27 minutes against Toronto. He should at least do that against a gutted Philly team. Philly is horrible on the road and the Warriors aren’t a pushover with Curry on the floor. He might hit 50 in 25 minutes in this one. 

Curry is OUT! That makes Mulder worth a look.

Honorable Mention:

De’Aaron Fox ($7,900): Fox is priced near the top of his production scale here. That’s a bit concerning. He put up 43 DraftKings points in his only game against Portland this year. I would consider Fox marginally safer than Lilllard here. The abdominal discomfort doesn’t seem to be hurting Fox. He has between 38 and 43 DraftKings points in every game since the one he missed on February 27.

Shake Milton ($6,300): We seem to have found Milton’s flatline point and it’s about what he’s priced for. Don’t expect a ceiling game here against Curry. Milton is still playing well though and should be right around 5x value. He’s fine for cash games, but we probably want more for GPP purposes.

Dark Horses:

Mike Conley ($4,900): Conley has no upside, but he doesn’t really need it if he’s flirting with 30 DraftKings points every night. The Jazz are playing better lately, but you can’t tell much by games against the Knicks, Cavs, and Generals…..er…..Wizards. Those are three of the worst defenses on the planet. Conley is a safe value play, but not much more than that.

Brandon Knight ($4,800): Knight has four straight games of 28 or more DraftKings points, but the return of Brown is bound to hurt him some. Still, Knight is the only true PG on this team. If the Pistons start Brown over Knight, I’ll consider moving off of him. I think the more likely scenario is that Svi gets bumped and Knight and Brown spend a lot of court time together. Both are solid plays here with whoever starts having more upside. However, if Young sits, Jeff Teague is a much better play at a much lower price.