College football win totals 2021: Over/under bets for every Pac-12 team

Dec 18, 2020; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans quarterback Kedon Slovis (9) is pressured by Oregon Ducks defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux (5) in the second half during the Pac-12 Championship at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Oregon defeated USC 31-24. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 18, 2020; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans quarterback Kedon Slovis (9) is pressured by Oregon Ducks defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux (5) in the second half during the Pac-12 Championship at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Oregon defeated USC 31-24. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /
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Going through the Pac-12 win totals for the 2021 college football season and making predictions for over/under bets on every team in the conference.

It’s been quite some time since college football fans have seen a Pac-12 team in the College Football Playoff mix. While the league has been quality overall, the truth is that the top teams in the conference have often cannibalized themselves in terms of their National Championship hopes.

When looking at the Pac-12 win totals for the 2021 college football season, the oddsmakers clearly don’t believe that’s going to change this season. Five of the teams in the conference have a win total line set at either 9.0 or 8.5. There are also two additional programs at 6.0 wins or higher.

So will the conference eat itself — and its CFP chances — alive once again? Or will one team breakthrough? We’re making our predictions for over/under bets with every Pac-12 team in the 2021 campaign. (Note: All odds and lines are via WynnBet.)

Pac-12 win totals over/under bets for the 2021 college football season

Arizona State – 9.0 wins – Prediction: Under

It’s pretty wild that Herm Edwards’ program is embroiled in an NCAA controversy entering the 2021 season and they are tied for the highest win total in the Pac-12. The Sun Devils have the talent to be conference champions but the off-field drama causes me to lean to the under.

Oregon – 9.0 wins – Prediction: Over

Playing at Ohio State in Week 2 and getting a road draw against UW is tough for the Ducks. But Oregon is the most talented team in the conference this season on both sides of the ball. If they are able to get quality quarterback play from either Anthony Brown or Ty Thompson, the Ducks can break the trend of no dominant Pac-12 teams competing for a CFP berth.

Washington – 9.0 wins – Prediction: Under

All told, finishing at 9-3 for the season feels like the most likely outcome for the Huskies, who are no doubt a quality team. This is a team with the upside to win the Pac-12 this season but with an even win total, I’m taking the under simply because of the lack of certainty at the quarterback position.

USC – 8.5 wins – Prediction: Over

There’s not an easier over in the Pac-12 win totals to take than USC, no matter how you feel about Clay Helton. This iteration of the Trojans should be improved in the trenches and doesn’t have to play Oregon or Washington out of the North. In all honesty, Helton should be ousted if this team doesn’t win 10 games, which would smash the over.

Utah – 8.5 wins – Prediction: Over

With the Utes having a cakewalk in the non-conference, it all comes down to if they can avoid three losses in the conference. Avoiding Oregon on the schedule will help with that and Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer at quarterback should give the offense a major boost to get this team to at least 9-3.

UCLA – 7.0 wins – Prediction: Over

I’m not wholly convinced that UCLA is going to pick up a win against LSU in the non-conference but that shouldn’t change how good you should feel about this number. Chip Kelly’s team is more than capable of knocking off a team like USC, Utah or Washington while being better than over half the conference, which is the recipe they need for eight wins.

Washington State – 6.0 wins – Prediction: Under

This total is just too high. Even with some controversy surrounding the program and head coach Nick Rolovich, Washington State should improve from going 1-3 a season ago. With that said, this team isn’t complete nor is it one of the best in a top-heavy conference, which leads me to believe that 4-8 or 5-7 are the most likely outcomes for Wazzu this season.

California – 5.5 wins – Prediction: Over

As was the case with most teams in the Pac-12, Cal struggled to ever get into any kind of rhythm in the season but that could be misleading when you look at this line. Not only has Justin Wilcox proven he can coach up a top-half defense in the conference but an experience-laden offense has to be better and healthier than they were in 2020.

Colorado – 4.5 wins – Prediction: Under

Two things can be true for Colorado this season; Jarek Broussard and Karl Dorrell could be the right men for the job and the Buffs could still not win more than four games. Non-conference meetings with Texas A&M and Minnesota are rough, as is the draw of Oregon and Washington from the North. That’s just not enough swing games to get to 5-7.

Oregon State – 4.5 wins – Prediction: Under

Rarely have then been overwhelming concerns about the Oregon State offense and that continues to be the case for the 2021 season. Unfortunately, the Beavers have struggled often defensively and now are losing arguably their two best defensive players from last season, which makes a five-win season unlikely.

Stanford – 4.0 wins – Prediction: Over

Some people are high on David Shaw getting the Cardinal back on track to some degree after a down year, even after losing Davis Mills at quarterback. I’m more inclined to think that Stanford is still below average and finishes somewhere around 4-8, but getting one additional win is more plausible than losing one they shouldn’t under Shaw.

Arizona – 2.5 wins – Prediction: Under

Jedd Fisch was always going to face an uphill climb to get Arizona back to relevance and, while things are looking positive, that’s even more so the case. Getting Oregon and Washington from the North is brutal and the Wildcats aren’t winning more than two games — if they even get there.

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