Wyndham Championship expert picks, best bets for PGA Tour golf this week

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JULY 28: Joohyung Kim of South Korea follows his shot from the ninth tee during the first round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club on July 28, 2022 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JULY 28: Joohyung Kim of South Korea follows his shot from the ninth tee during the first round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club on July 28, 2022 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images) /

Breaking down our PGA Tour expert picks for the Wyndham Championship with best bets, winner picks and more for the regular season finale.

Just like that, we’re at the last tournament of the PGA Tour regular season. The Wyndham Championship is the last chance for some players to get into the Top 125 and the FedExCup Playoffs that will retain their Tour card and keep them in the mix to potentially make a bigger move next season. That’s what’s at stake at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC.

In our view, however, it’s all about trying to cash tickets. We weren’t at our best last week but did have two nice cashes involving Cameron Young and Taylor Pendrith, two bets that were never in doubt as they both finished T2 behind Tony Finau. We can do better, though.

With that in mind, let’s dive into our final PGA Tour expert picks of the regular season with our best bets and more for the Wyndham Championship.

Note: All odds are courtesy of WynnBet. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided.

PGA Tour expert picks for Rocket Mortgage Classic: Winner, Top 10, One and Done

Top 10 pick for the Rocket Mortgage Classic: Mark Hubbard (+600)

It’s not déja vu — Mark Hubbard was my Top 10 pick last week and he missed the cut. Hand up, that was a bad read by me. I looked at the form and less about the fit in Detroit. He missed the cut but really didn’t play that poorly except for a down approach day on Friday, which cost him the weekend.

Overall, though, the form remains impressive and Wyndham is a much better fit for him. He has two Top 5 finishes and three Top 13 finishes in his last four starts while gaining over 0.9 strokes per round on approach over the last 20 and putting extremely well. With two Top 25 finishes at Sedgefield to his credit already in his career, I love him to get back to his great finishes and cash a fantastic number for us.

Pick to Win the Wyndham Championship: Tom (Joohyung) Kim (+3300)

This number is dropping early in the week and it’s not hard to see why after it opened at +4000 at several books.

Kim has been phenomenal as he plays on PGA Tour Temporary Exemption Status trying to earn his card (what Will Zalatoris was on last season). He’s gaining strokes across the board over his last 20 rounds with more than 0.5 strokes gained per round on approach and with the putter over that span, which has led to two Top 7 finishes in his last four starts. Moreover, he knows how to win with two Asian Tour wins and nine overall professional wins at just 20 years old. I love for him to come through when he needs it most and get his first PGA Tour win.

One and Done Pick for the Wyndham Championship: Tom (Joohyung) Kim

Even if he doesn’t cash the outright pick, I love Kim’s form and seemingly he has a high floor for where he’s finishing given how he’s playing. This isn’t a very loaded field and I like for him to, at minimum, have a strong finish and show up well this week that will pay off nicely as a One and Done pick.

Wyndham Championship picks and best bets

Shane Lowry to finish Top 10 (+200)

I almost bet Shane Lowry to win because, frankly, he’s due to given how well he’s playing this week. But with a +200 number on him to just make a Top 10 this week, I took a more conservative approach for one of the favorites this week.

He’s only played three times in recent months but has overall impressed with T10 at the RBC Heritage, T21 at The Open and a missed cut in-between at the US Open. But overall this year, his game seems ideal for Sedgefield. Historically a great player on short courses, Lowry fits the profile with great strokes gained numbers on approach and around the green. I think he finishes the regular season strong and hits the Top 10 to cash this best bet.

Webb Simpson to finish Top 10 (+250)

It’s Webb Simpson at the Wyndham. We could just leave it at that.

Honestly, though, these odds are a little short considering the form of Simpson, no matter how good his history is or the fact that his daughter is named after this tournament. Yes, he hasn’t finished worse than T7 in the last five years and has 10 Top 11 finishes in 13 starts. But he’s lost strokes tee-to-green in three straight tournaments and just hasn’t been sharp this year. That worries me but I have to bank on the history at Sedgefield.

Adam Long to finish Top 20 (+275)

Don’t sleep on how well Adam Long has been trending over the past few months as he’s really positioning himself well for the FedExCup Playoffs. His last four starts have resulted in T21, T25, T13 and T16. He’s playing extremely well and doing so consistently down the stretch, which has often been an indicator for success at the Wyndham. He’s extremely accurate off of the tee, which is another huge plus, and has gained 0.58 strokes on approach per round over the last 20. I love this number on a player who checks all the boxes to make a Top 20.

Longshot pick to win the Wyndham Championship: Hayden Buckley (+12500)

I wouldn’t necessarily say that I’m betting Hayden Buckley to win this week but he’s worth a look in other areas because his number is so good at this price. He’s above average in both length and accuracy off the tee and has made six straight cuts, a streak that includes a T24 and T26 in the past two tournaments and gaining strokes on approach. He’s playing well and fighting for FedExCup points and I think he keeps this strong form.

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