After the brief offseason, PGA Tour expert picks return for the 2022 Fortinet Championship with our picks and best bets for Silverado Country Club.
We’re back already as the shortest offseason in sports undoubtedly (for now) resides with the PGA Tour. The 2022-23 season tees off with the Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort and Spa in Napa, CA this week with a field not littered with big names but headlined by Max Homa, Hideki Matsuyama and Corey Conners.
Last season finished with some strong hits as we pegged Xander Schauffele to finish in the Top 5 and Joaquin Niemann to outduel Jordan Spieth at the TOUR Championship. Overall, though, the playoffs were a bit unkind from the gambling gods, so a new season is good to see so we can get back on track.
Now we’re off and it’s time for our Fortinet Championship best bets and PGA Tour expert picks for the start of the new season.
Note: All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportbook. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided.
PGA Tour expert picks for Fortinet Championship: Winner, Top 10, One and Done
Top 10 pick for Fortinet Championship: Mark Hubbard (+750)
I’m going deep for my first Top 10 pick of the new season but there is no reason for Hubbard’s odds to be this long. Admittedly, he fell off of a run of great form at the end of last season, but he has a T16 and T13 finish at Silverado in two of the past three years and has been still playing beautifully with his approach play and short game. With rough that’s not going to be penal this week, this feels like a good spot to look.
Pick to Win Fortinet Championship: Taylor Pendrith (+2600)
Including his bid to win the Rocket Mortgage, Taylor Pendrith has been lights-out since returning from injury and now comes to a place that should suit him perfectly. He’s not finished worse than T13 in six of his last seven starts and comes to a course that should reward his long driving and strong approach play. His putter has cooled off but he has improved there, making him a strong option as an outright pick at the Fortinet.
One and Done Pick for Fortinet Championship: Taylor Pendrith
There’s no chance I’m burning one of the bigger names in this field on the first tournament of the 2022-23 PGA Tour season and Pendrith feels like a sweet spot for that. His play has been so phenomenal lately but without a long history of success that it feels like a spot to try and capture some of that magic before it potentially fizzles out.
Fortinet Championship picks and best bets
Taylor Montgomery to finish Top 40 (+110)
A newcomer from the Korn Ferry graduates, Montgomery has been white-hot while trying to earn his card with four straight Top 10 finishes and three of those coming in the Top 5. He’s been terrific with his approach play and has backed that up with a strong overall game as well. Getting plus odds on him to finish just in the Top 40 in a relatively light field is a gift.
Davis Riley to finish Top 20 (+160)
In case you’re new here, I’ve been riding the Davis Riley train for quite a bit and I love grabbing him at this number for a Top 20 after he’s had a bit of rest. I think fatigue was a big factor at the end of his rookie season, which got him off track as a ball-striker. With a few weeks to reset, I think we see him come back into form and flirt with the top of the leaderboard in Napa.
Callum Tarren to finish Top 40 (+170)
Callum Tarren was quietly popping up often over the end of last season with four straight Top 25 finishes before missing the cut at the FedEx St. Jude and missing out on advancing in the playoffs. But the long-hitting Englishman has been gaining 0.94 strokes tee-to-green over his past 30 rounds and can pop with the putter. He has a cool approach on the course and can score extremely low. So for +170 to only finish in the Top 40, I love this play on Tarren.
Longshot pick to win Fortinet Championship: Harris English (+11000)
Given his form over the back half of last season overall, I understand why this number is where it is. But the fact of the matter is that I’m banking on Harris English only continuing to get healthier after a long absence, which makes this number way too long. He’s a Top 30 or 40 player in the world when he’s been healthy and sprinkling on him at north of 100-1 to see if he finds it makes a ton of sense to me.