Miami (Florida) vs. Indiana prediction and odds for NCAA Tournament Second Round

Mar 17, 2023; Albany, NY, USA; Indiana Hoosiers guard Jalen Hood-Schifino (1) and forward Trayce Jackson-Davis (23) and forward Race Thompson (25) and guard Tamar Bates (53) in the second half against the Kent State Golden Flashes at MVP Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 17, 2023; Albany, NY, USA; Indiana Hoosiers guard Jalen Hood-Schifino (1) and forward Trayce Jackson-Davis (23) and forward Race Thompson (25) and guard Tamar Bates (53) in the second half against the Kent State Golden Flashes at MVP Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports /
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We’ve seen some crazy upsets in March Madness, but surprisingly all of the five seeds have advanced to the round of 32 and most of the four seeds got through as well. That gives us some really great matchups in the second round with highly ranked teams like the Miami Hurricanes and the Indiana Hoosiers.

Thankfully we get to see Trayce Jackson-Davis at least one more time this year, but he’ll need some help to keep his Hoosiers dancing.

Here are the odds for Miami and Indiana in the round of 32 on Sunday.

Miami vs. Indiana odds, spread and total

Miami vs. Indiana prediction and pick

I’ve said it a million times, but I’ll say it again. March is about guards and Miami has as many as any team in the country. They start a four-guard lineup with Isaiah Wong, Jordan Miller, Nijel Pack, and Wooga Poplar. Jim Larranaga has experience winning games in the tournament, so experience is an advantage for the Hurricanes. Because of their guard play, their offense has been stellar, they are ninth in offensive efficiency and average 79.6 points a game.

The other end of the floor could be a problem for Miami though. The Hurricanes don’t have a lot of size, so stopping Trayce Jackson-Davis will be tough ask. The Hurricanes allow their opponents to shoot 51.8% from two-point range which ranks 255th nationally and they’re 152nd in defensive rebounding percentage. Miami is 112th in adjusted defense, and an all offense no defense team usually doesn’t thrive in March.

That’s all good news for the Hoosiers, but they turn the ball over 11.5 times per game which was the fourth most in the Big Ten. In the first round that wasn’t an issue, they turned it over just seven times. Jalen Hood-Schifino will need to be great for Indiana to win.

So, Miami has the guards, but not the size or the defense and Indiana has the size, but can we trust their guards. I’m not sure about either, but I don’t think either team will get many stops. All that being said, I’ll take the over in this one.

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change