The WNBA season is winding down and the playoff field has officially been set, which means that we now know which teams are going to be in the draft lottery for the 2027 WNBA Draft. While the draft order could theoretically shift a tony bit down the stretch, this is very likely how the odds will look.
If you aren't familiar with how the WNBA's lottery works, odds are determined by two-year combined records, not just one-year records like in the NBA. With talent concentrated more tightly at the top of the draft, this helps ensure teams that are bad for multiple seasons have a chance at some elite talents.
Current WNBA Draft lottery odds
Team | Two-Year Winning Percentage | Two-Year Record | #1 Overall Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
Connecticut Sun | .256 | 21-61 | 35.0% |
Toronto Tempo | .289 | 11-27 | 24.0% |
Washington Mystics (via Chicago) | .301 | 25-58 | 16.0% |
Seattle Storm | .373 | 31-52 | 10.5% |
Portland Fire | .395 | 15-23 | 7.0% |
Los Angeles Sparks | .415 | 34-48 | 4.5% |
Los Angeles Sparks (via Phoenix) | .482 | 40-43 | 3.0% |
Which teams have traded away their lottery picks?
Two teams in next year's draft lottery won't control their own first-round pick: the Chicago Sky and the Phoenix Mercury.
Phoenix dealt its pick in the deal that landed Kelsey Plum in Phoenix. The team's 2025 success means that it's locked into the lowest lottery odds, so Phoenix likely shouldn't have to worry too much about jumping in the odds. The team has approximately a 6.9 percent chance of jumping to the first or second pick, which isn't zero, but it also isn't super likely.
The Washington Mystics are the big winners here, as they acquired the Chicago Sky's first-round pick for 2027 via the Ariel Atkins trade. I'm not going to get into how awful the Chicago front office has been when it comes to draft pick trades, but I will say that the Mystics are in great shape for 2027. They're an ascending playoff team that is set to have approximately a 16 percent chance to pick first overall and an 18 percent chance to draft second overall, with only a 4.7 percent chance of dropping below fourth. Huge potential win there for the Mystics.
What players are at the top of the 2027 WNBA Draft big board?
The 2027 WNBA Draft class is pretty deep, but how good it is at the top depends on if USC guard JuJu Watkins declares or decides to play a final college season. That wouldn't have been a question if not for her medically redshirting last season, which gives her an additional year of eligibility on the other end. Watkins is a potentially game-changing guard prospect, someone who could immediately battle for All-WNBA honors as she combines her scoring prowess with a 6-foot-2 frame.
Beyond Watkins, you have two other big names to watch: Hannah Hidalgo and Madison Booker.
Hidalgo is an elite scorer for Notre Dame, but her WNBA outlook is muddier than Watkins' because of size concerns, as she's just 5-foot-6. Can she get to the hoop at that size?
Booker is the best pure small forward prospect in the class, but there are questions about how her creation skills will translate. She'll probably be a very good player, but the floor is lower than Watkins and the ceiling isn't quite as high.
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