Feb 22, 2015; Portland, OR, USA; Portland Trail Blazers guard Damian Lillard (0) chases down Memphis Grizzlies guard Mike Conley (11) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. Mandatory Credit: Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports
There are four games on tap for the late night tournament, which is more games than we are used to for this one!
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Here are my late night FanDuel lineups for February 25:
Trey Burke, Jazz ($5,500): Not only does Burke get the hapless Lakers backcourt tonight, but he is riding a string of three straight games of over 20 fantasy points. He has averaged 26 fantasy points per game over that span. He will have no problem hitting that tonight against the Lakers.
Worth The Cost:
Mike Conley, Grizzlies ($6,600): In his two games since the break, Conley has 75.3 fantasy points. He was on a slide heading into the break, but the rest seems to have done wonders for his various minor ailments throughout the season. He could wind up being a great value play against the Darren Collison-less Kings.
Damian Lillard, Trailblazers ($8,400): Lillard got back on track against Memphis. That gives me enough confidence to play him against San Antonio tonight. One cause for concern is that he has not been over 40 fantasy points since February 7th. That said, he is the best best for 35 from the point guards in the late night. If you have the money, he might be worth it.
Ty Lawson, Nuggets ($8,200): On paper, this looks like a great matchup for Lawson against the Suns, but when you look at the two games since they sat him for missing a flight back over the break, you realize that something is going on here. Perhaps it was all of the trade rumors. Perhaps is was the public feud with management. Perhaps both. But whatever the reason, Lawson has looked disinterested in those two games, totaling just 54.2 fantasy points combined in those games. I wouldn’t trust him right now.
Jordan Clarkson ($5,100) and Jeremy Lin ($4,500), Lakers: You just never know who is going to get the run with the Lakers. Now that Ronnie Price is out, Jeremy Lin is back in the rotation, and has played more minutes than Clarkson in the last two games. If I had to choose I would still go with Clarkson, but I would stay far away from this mess.
A: Lawson and Burke ($13,700)
B: Conley and Burke ($12,100)
Next: Bledsoe Or Bust!
Feb 10, 2015; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Eric Bledsoe (2) leaves the court after facing the Houston Rockets at US Airways Center. The Rockets won 127-118. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Wayne Ellington, Lakers ($4,900): Nick Young was cutting into his time, but now he is out again, which means that Ellington should be well over 30 minutes tonight. Of course, that doesn’t always mean production. But he has been over 20 fantasy points in each of his last three games of over 30 minutes. Yes, SG is that thin in the late night.
Elijah Millsap, Jazz ($3,900): Millsap has averaged 21.2 fantasy points per game in his five starts this year. Those numbers aren’t great, but he has consistently provided 5x value. Add to that the fact that he is playing the Lakers, and he could be worth rolling with if you need to go cheap at both SG positions.
Worth The Cost:
Eric Bledsoe, Suns ($8,400): Bledsoe looked good in his first two games alongside Brandon Knight. He had 80.8 fantasy points in those two games, which is nearly 5x value. Bledsoe is a great play against the Nuggets, whose defensive woes are well known. Play him with confidence, and hope this doesn’t get ugly early so he still gets 30 minutes.
Everyone else: The arrival of Arron Afflalo in Portland has stunted both his and Wesley Mattews’s fantasy production in the last two games. Danny Green and Manu Ginobili are not producing at consistent enough clips because they are both not seeing starter’s minutes. Ben McLemore is the fifth best fantasy option on his team, so he shouldn’t be one on yours at all. Marcus Thornton and Danny Granger are barely part of the Phoenix rotation right now. It is a barren wasteland at SG tonight after Bledsoe.
A: Bledsoe and Millsap ($12,300)
B: Ellington and Millsap ($8,800)
Next: There Are Still Good Options At SF
Feb 23, 2015; Denver, CO, USA;Denver Nuggets forward Danilo Gallinari (8) shoots the ball during the second half against the Brooklyn Nets at Pepsi Center. The Nets won 110-82. Mandatory Credit: Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports
Danilo Gallinari, Nuggets ($4,000): As long as he stays healthy, Gallinari will be a good daily option. He has filled in nicely with Arron Afflalo gone, putting up 73.3 fantasy points in those three games. That is good for 6x value, and that will likely continue so long as his price stays this low. He is a great play against Phoenix tonight.
Worth The Cost:
Gordon Hayward, Jazz ($8,100): What better way to erase the 25 point “disappointment” against the Spurs than washing it down with the Lakers? That’s right, there isn’t a better way. Look for Hayward to rebound in a big way. The Lakers don’t have anyone that can defend him on the outside.
Rudy Gay, Kings ($7,500): Gay has been inconsistent lately, scoring anywhere from 6.7 fantasy points to 45, all in his last nine games. There is no way I would trust him against Memphis. They are too tough on defense. The only thing that might make me consider it is the fact that he used to play for them.
Kawhi Leonard, Spurs ($7,000): Leonard has only hit 4.5x value (31.5 fantasy points) once in his last six games. There are too many people getting too much rest or playing time in that rotation to really rely on anyone for fantasy purposes right now. It’s a different producer every night, which is great for an NBA team, not so good for daily fantasy players.
A and B: Hayward and Gallinari ($12,100)
Next: Should You Take The Chance On LMA?
Feb 11, 2015; Oklahoma City, OK, USA; Memphis Grizzlies forward Zach Randolph (50) attempts a shot against Oklahoma City Thunder forward Nick Collison (4) during the fourth quarter at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Mandatory Credit: Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports
Derrick Favors, Jazz ($7,500): Favors just keeps putting up games in the low to mid 30’s fantasy-wise. It doesn’t matter who is on the court with him. Add to that the fact that he has a great matchup against the Lakers, and he could wind up closer to 40 than 30.
Worth The Cost:
Zach Randolph, Grizzlies ($8,300): Randolph struggled with his shot on Monday against the Clippers, but still ended up with 24 fantasy points. That is likely his floor, folks. He has a solid matchup against the Kings tonight, especially if they decide to move Rudy Gay down to PF again. Expect Randolph back up in the mid-30’s, which is where he usually is.
Tim Duncan, Spurs ($7,600): Duncan has a rather tough matchup aginst the Blazers, but he has put up more than 30 fantasy points in each of the last games that he has played more than 28 minutes in. Due to all of the other questions at PF tonight, Duncan is more of a steady guy than either of the risky options. 30 points is 30 points in late night. There aren’t a whole lot of consistent options out there.
LaMarcus Aldridge, Trailblazers ($9,300): Aldridge says he will play tonight after missing Sunday’s game with soreness in his thumb. The three days off could have done him some good, but he could still be a risk against the Spurs tonight. They are not great in the middle, but LMA’s thumb troubles may not be over. That is a big price tag for such a risky option.
Markieff Morris, Suns ($6,500): He has only one game over 29.4 (4.5x value) fantasy points in his last eight games. If that doesn’t scare you off, I don’t know what will. He has a good matchup agianst Denver, but he did against Boston and Houston as well and did nothing with it.
A: Aldridge and Favors ($16,800)
B: Randolph and Favors ($15,800)
Next: Should You Spend On Cousins?
Jan 4, 2015; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Phoenix Suns center Alex Len (21) against the Toronto Raptors at US Airways Center. The Suns defeated the Raptors 125-109. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Rudy Gobert, Jazz ($5,900): Gobert has been a solid play now that he has the starting center job all to himself. He was even before then. That said, he still struggles with physical teams on the interior, so he is best when paying matchups. Tonight he has a great matchup with the Lakers. I could see 6x value coming out of Gobert tonight.
Alex Len, Suns ($5,000): Len has averaged 31.3 fantasy points in his three starts with Miles Plumlee out of the picture. That is what it finally took to get Len going. He has a great matchup against Denver tonight, and would not be the slightest bit surprised if he improved on his current average as the starting center.
Worth The Cost:
Marc Gasol, Grizzlies ($7,800): He has a tough matchup with DeMarcus Cousins tonight, but Gasol has been one of the more consistent producers at center. He put up 31.2 fantasy points on DeAndre Jordan. I can see him right around that mark against Cousins. If you need the money elsewhere to make your team stronger, I doubt Cousins outscores Gasol by what the price difference dictates ($3,200 or 14.4 points).
DeMarcus Cousins, Kings ($11,000): Yes, I know Jordan held his own against Memphis, and I expect the same from Cousins. The reason he is here is because he needs a whopping 49.5 fantasy points for 4.5x value. There is no way he reaches that against the Grizzlies. He will have trouble getting 44, which is 4x value.
A: Len ($5,000)
B: Cousins ($11,000)
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