Feb 25, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; Los Angeles Clippers guard Chris Paul (3) warms up before a game against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
There are five games in the NBA tonight, but there are still plenty of tough lineup decisions to be made.
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Here are my FanDuel lineups for March 2:
Deron Williams, Nets ($6,200): Williams seems to have regained his starting job back, at least for now. He has been over 30 fantasy points in four of his last five games. The only game that he struggled in was against the Pelicans, who are very good on the perimeter. Williams doesn’t have that great of a matchup against Golden State, but he should still see most of the minutes at the point as long as he keeps playing the way he is.
Ricky Rubio, Timberwolves ($7,500): Rubio has averaged 38.5 fantasy points per game over his last six games. It’s safe to say that he is back to his pre-injury form. The team is playing well, and Rubio is the catalyst behind all of it. I wouldn’t bet against him either!
Worth The Cost:
Chris Paul, Clippers ($10,000): Paul has been over 40 fantasy points in each of his last four games. and in eight of his last ten. The matchup against Minnesota is not a great one, but I’m not betting against Paul right now.
Stephen Curry, Warriors ($10,000): Curry piles up big fantasy points on most nights, but the number of blowouts that the Warriors have been involved in this year has limited his value at times. I’m not sure that the Warriors will blow out the Nets at home, and I think Curry can do some damage if he plays over 30 minutes. Neither D-Will nor Jarrett Jack are great defenders, so expect Curry to carry a heavy load for the Warriors offense.
Tyreke Evans, Pelicans ($8,400): Evans continues to shine in place of Jrue Holiday. He has averaged 35.8 fantasy points per game over his last five games. Rajon Rondo could give him some trouble, but you can’t ignore what Evans has done lately. He probably wont hit that recent average, but he could hit 30. If you can’t afford Paul or Stephen Curry, Evans is a solid option.
Greivis Vasquez, Raptors ($4,100): Greivis will get another start as the Raptors are going to rest Kyle Lowry again tonight. While that would seem to be great for daily players, that is not a foregone conclusion. Vasquez only put up 23 fantasy points in his start on Saturday, and he gets a Philadelphia team that has defended the perimeter very well recently.
Isaiah Canaan, 76ers ($4,400): Canaan is still the starter, but that could be short lived. Ishmael Smith is playing as many or more minutes than Canaan, and has outproduced him by a large margin. That makes both of them a gamble right now, but if you must take a chance on one of them, make it Smith.
A: Paul and Rubio ($17,500)
B: Rubio and Vasquez ($11,600)
Next: Should You Pay For SG's?
Feb 28, 2015; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Eric Bledsoe (2) looks on against the San Antonio Spurs during the second half at US Airways Center. The Spurs won 101-74. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Henry Walker, Heat ($4,200): He has been seeing good minutes, but his production does not always follow suit. He is an option based on matchup, and he has a good one tonight against the Suns. His highest fantasy total this season has been 24.1 points, so don’t expect miracles, but he should get you around 20 fantasy points, which is a solid bargain for his price.
Jamal Crawford, Clippers ($5,700): It is looking like J.J. Redick is going to miss tonight’s game against Minnesota, which would leave Crawford with as many minutes as he can handle. He is playing nearly starter’s minutes anyway, so I wouldn’t expect a huge spike in numbers, but they could go up from his current 28 fantasy points per game over his last ten games.
Worth The Cost:
Eric Bledsoe, Suns ($8,900): I think Saturday’s terrible game against the Spurs was an aberration. He has been the best and most consistent fantasy player for the Suns all season long. I don’t see how this would change all of the sudden, especially that drastically. Expect Bledsoe back in his mid-30 range tonight against Miami, and maybe even a little higher.
Klay Thompson, Warriors ($7,200): Thompson is averaging 34.6 fantasy points per game over his last five games. I think it’s safe to assume that his slump is over. Brooklyn has a decent defense, but I would be very surprised if they stopped his current streak of 30+ fantasy point games at five.
Monta Ellis, Mavericks ($6,700): Ellis has only been over 30 fantasy points once in his last eight games. Tonight, he gets a solid Pelicans team who could give him some issues again on the periemeter. He needs 30 fantasy points for 4.5x value, and you likely won’t get it again tonight.
Markel Brown, Nets ($4,000): The return of Bojan Bogdanovich and Jarrett Jack has cut into Brown’s playing time. He saw only 21 minutes on Saturday, but still put up 18.8 fantasy points. He will likely still get you 4x value, but this significantly limits his upside.
A: Bledsoe and Walker ($13,100)
B: Bledsoe and Thompson ($16,100)
Next: Still Some Decent Options At SF
Feb 23, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Andrew Wiggins (22) dribbles against Houston Rockets guard James Harden (13) in the second half at Toyota Center. Rockets won 113 to 102. Mandatory Credit: Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports
Harrison Barnes, Warriors ($4,400): Barnes has seen his minutes pick up a little bit lately, and to no one’s surprise, his production has as well. He has averaged 19.8 fantasy points per game over his last ten games. While that is not great, it is still 4.5x value. He has also broken the 20 fantasy point mark in three straight games. He could do the same tonight against the Nets, especially if they insist on playing Bogdanovic at SF.
P.J. Tucker, Suns ($5,100): Tucker had a couple of down games against the Spurs and Thunder, but that can be expected. Tonight he has a better matchup against the Heat. If Brandon Knight misses tonight’s game (he is listed as a game time decision), then Tucker’s value climbs even more since his backup, Gerald Green, would start in Knight’s place. Tucker should be back in the mid-20’s, where he was before the last two games, tonight.
Worth The Cost:
Draymond Green, Warriors ($7,300): Green has averaged 39.9 fantasy points per game over his last three games. Tonight he gets a Nets team that isn’t all that great up front, which means Green has a great shot to be near 40 fantasy points again. There is no better option at SF tonight.
Andrew Wiggins, Timberwolves ($6,600): Wiggins definitely has the most potential of anyone besides Green at SF tonight. He has been consistently in the mid-20’s for fantasy points in February, but the thing that makes him enticing tonight is the fact that Kevin Martin missed shootaround. It is unlikely that he will play, which makes Wiggins the threat he was before the team got healthy. The only difference is that he will have Ricky Rubio, one of the game’s best distributors, to get him the ball. He could score as much as Draymond tonight.
Luol Deng, Heat ($6,400): Maybe it’s just because he has burned me so badly at times this year, but Deng has had two outings where he failed to break double digits in his last five games. He played 74 minutes in those two games combined, so playing time wasn’t the issue. If you are the gambling type, Deng looks to have a good matchup against the Suns tonight, but I just can’t trust him right now.
Al-Farouq Aminu, Mavericks ($4,700): He is still seeing plenty of minutes with Chandler Parsons out, but he, like Deng, has put up two single digit efforts in his last four games. He also plays a team in the Pelicans that was one of the teams that held Deng to single digits. The other was Atlanta, who also held Deng under ten. Stay away from Aminu tonight.
Quincy Pondexter, Pelicans ($4,100): Pondexter has started three straight for the Pelicans, and has averaged 23.3 fantasy points in those games. Anthony Davis is “unlikely” to return tonight, so Pondexter should still have one more game of solid production.
A: Green and Wiggins ($13,900)
B: Wiggins and Pondexter ($10,700)
Next: Where Do You Go With The Two Best Options Out?
Mar 1, 2015; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Philadelphia 76ers center Nerlens Noel (4) brings the ball up court against the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
Amare Stoudemire, Mavericks ($5,000): This is exactly why the Mavericks wanted Stoudemire. Tyson Chandler is out tonight, so Stoudemire will see heavy minutes even if he does not get the start. He has produced 41.4 fantasy points in 48 minutes in his time with Dallas. If he plays 30 minutes, he should get you 5x value.
Marcus Morris, Suns ($4,000): The lesser known of the Morris twins has gone over 20 fantasy points, or 5x value, five times in his last six games. He has a great chance to do the same agianst a Heat team that has been forced to go small without Chris Bosh.
Thomas Robinson, 76ers ($3,600): T-Rob never really got a chance in Portland (Will Barton, anyone?), and is showing that he deserves one with the 76ers. He has put up 54.8 fantasy points in just 50 minutes in his time with the Sixers. He should see an expanded role tonight if Robert Covington misses the game with his banged-up elbow. Even if Covington is able to go, I doubt that Robinson plays less than 25 minutes, which makes him a great option.
Worth The Cost:
Nerlens Noel, 76ers ($6,800): Noel has averaged 30.5 fantasy points per game over his last ten games. That puts him at 4.5x value on average lately. There is no reason to think that he wont be able to hit that mark tonight against Toronto. Noel has been expecially good over his last two games, in which he has scored 73 fantasy points. He may finally be figuring things out.
Dirk Nowitzki, Mavericks ($6,300): Dirk’s shot has not been falling much since the All Star break, but he has still managed to provide some fantasy points because of his rebounding. His matchup against the Pelicans won’t be easy, but it looks much better since he will likely be facing Dante Cunningham instead of Anthony Davis.
Markieff Morris, Suns ($6,900): He is too inconsitent to rely on. In a game that he should have dominated against the Nuggets with Kenneth Faried out, he played just 22 minutes and scored only 20.8 fantasy points. The very next night agianst Serge Ibaka, one of the best defenders in the league, he put up 47.7 fantasy points. I don’t care how good his matchup looks against the Heat. You just never know what you are going to get. The fact that the Heat are running small lately would seem to bode well for Morris though.
Dante Cunningham, Pelicans ($4,100): He has done a great job with Davis out, putting up more than 25 fantasy points in three straight games, but Dallas could be a little tougher on him. If he doesn’t hit double digits in points against Dallas, he will have a hard time sustaining his current success. Watch this carefully just in case Anthony Davis does take the court. That will render Cunningham useless.
A: Cunningham and Robinson ($7,700)
B: Noel and Stoudemire ($13,800)
Next: Don't Go Cheap At C
Feb 21, 2015; Miami, FL, USA; New Orleans Pelicans center Omer Asik (3) at the free throw line against the Miami Heat during the second half at American Airlines Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Omer Asik, Pelicans ($4,900): Asik has picked up the slack nicely with Anthony Davis out as well. He has averaged 29.6 fantasy points per game with Davis out. That makes him a great value play tonight, but he doesn’t have anywhere near the upside that the top guys have.
Worth The Cost:
DeAndre Jordan, Clippers ($9,700): Joakim Noah did a good job defensively on Jordan, as he scored just nine points yesterday. He still ended up with 47.2 fantasy points because he grabbed an unfathomable 26 rebounds. He has the highest floor of any high dollar player because of his rebounding. He is a great play against Minnesota tonight, who likely will be without Nikola Pekovic. He has averaged 49.7 fantasy points per game over his last eight games. I wouldn’t rule out him hitting that mark tonight.
Hassan Whiteside, Heat ($7,600): He has averaged 35.6 fantasy points per game over his last ten games, and won’t slow down anytime soon. Especially with Chris Bosh out of the picture for the rest of the year. He has a great matchup with the Suns tonight. He is an excellent plan B if you can’t afford Jordan.
Alex Len, Suns ($5,100): Len has cooled off some, but is still putting up good fantasy numbers. He has averaged 27.7 fantasy points per game without Miles Plumlee there. That said, I don’t really like his matchup against the Heat tonight. He likely won’t come all that close to his current average, and likely will have trouble breaking 20.
A: Whiteside ($7,600)
B: Jordan ($9,700)
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