Feb 23, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; Toronto Raptors guard Kyle Lowry (7) reacts against the New Orleans Pelicans during the fourth quarter of a game at the Smoothie King Center. The Pelicans defeated the Raptors 100-97. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
There are only two games for the turbo tonight, which means that a lot of people will have the same lineups. Time to think outside the box a little!
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Here are my turbo FanDuel lineups for March 10:
Rajon Rondo, Mavericks ($5,600): Rondo has ratttled off five straight 20+ fantasy point games, and is averaging 26.3 fantasy points per game in that stretch. That makes him a solid 4.8x value.
Tony Parker, Spurs ($5,800): The Raptors have not defended the point very well for the whole season. Parker comes into this one riding the heels of two straight 40+ point fantasy games while only playing 33 minutes per game. He should be pretty well rested, and has a chance to extend his streak to three tonight for a bargain price.
Worth The Cost:
Kyle Lowry, Raptors ($7,100): Lowry’s shooting has not been great since returning from his days of “rest”, but he has been producing at a pretty good clip. He has 64.4 fantasy points in two games since returning, and has a nice matchup against the Spurs tonight. Tony Parker may be producing on the offensive end, but he has given up some big games to PG’s recently. That makes Lowry a solid play tonight.
Kyrie Irving, Cavaliers ($7,900): Irving has only broken the 30 fantasy point barrier twice in his last ten games, and that is where he needs to be for 4x value. Add to that the fact that he is playing the Mavericks and Rajon Rondo, who is one of the best defensive point guards in the league, and I am staying away from this one. Even in a game with only four starters to choose from.
A: Irving and Lowry ($15,000)
B: Rondo and Parker ($11,400)
Next: Decent Options At SG
Mar 4, 2015; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Raptors guard DeMar DeRozan (10) controls the ball against the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Air Canada Centre. Cleveland defeated Toronto 120-112. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
J. R. Smith, Cavaliers ($5,600): Smith has fit in well with the Cavaliers since his trade started off the Knicks fire sale. That said, he has been losing minutes to Iman Shumpert when the Cavaliers need extra defense on the perimeter. They will need the help tonight against Monta Ellis and the Mavericks, so Smith could see a bit of a decrease in minutes. On top of that, Ellis is a good defender, so the chances of Smith seeing a lot of open shots are not all that good. Temper your expectations for Smith, but he could still get around 4x value.
Worth The Cost:
DeMar DeRozan, Raptors ($7,400): DeRozan has broken out of his slump. He is averaging 37.3 fantasy points over his last five games. The Spurs might give him a few problems on the outside, but probably not enough to hold him under 30 fantasy points. Which still makes him a solid play.
Monta Ellis, Mavericks ($6,800): Ellis has averaged 27.3 fantasy points over his last ten games, which makes him about a 4x value on average. The Cavs have defended the perimeter a little better with the arrival of Iman Shumpert, but he is still not starting, so Ellis should see plenty of shots. He was on fire against the Lakers on Sunday. Let’s see if he still is tonight.
Lou Williams, Raptors ($5,100): When Lou Will is on, he can score with the best of them. He has had four games of more than 30 fantasy points four of his last ten games. The bad news? When he is off, he is really off. He has been below 22 fantsay points in the other six. There is no in between.
Danny Green, Spurs ($5,200): This offense has gravitated towards Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard lately, which means that Green is only being worked into it when his shot is falling. That has not happened a lot lately. Honestly, Manu Ginobili is probably a better option because he still sees a lot of shots with the second team.
A and B: DeRozan and Ellis ($14,200)
Next: There Is No Reason To Not Use Kawhi Leonard
Mar 8, 2015; San Antonio, TX, USA; San Antonio Spurs small forward Kawhi Leonard (2) dunks the ball against the Chicago Bulls during the second half at AT&T Center. The Spurs won 116-105. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports
Al-Farouq Aminu, Mavericks ($4,900): It has been Aminu, not Richard Jefferson, that has retained the backup role behind Chandler Parsons. As we have seen several times this year, Aminu has stepped up big even when getting only 20 minutes per game. He has put up 59.3 fantasy points in just 39 minutes with Parsons back. Expect similar production tonight agianst Cleveland.
Worth The Cost:
LeBron James, Cavaliers ($10,700): The Mavericks don’t really have anyone that can stop him. That said, LeBron has scored just 34.2 fantasy points in each of his last two games. He is a risk at the price if he doesn’t put up more than 40 points, but I do like his matchup. Then again, I liked his matchup with the Suns on Saturday too…..
Kawhi Leonard, Spurs ($7,600): Leonard has been a monster for the Spurs lately. He has put up more than 35 fantasy points in six straight games, and is averaging 39.5 fantasy points per game in that span. He is the go-to guy for the team right now, and he may be the most reliable play at SF tonight against the Raptors. I would not be surprised if he outscored LeBron.
Chandler Parsons, Mavericks ($6,100): Parsons played a full compliment of minutes against the Lakers, but only managed 23.2 fantasy points. It won’t be any easier against LeBron and the Cavs tonight, so that makes him a bit of a risk. At least until he shows that he can regain his form.
Terrence Ross, Raptors ($4,100): Ross, like Lou Williams, can be a huge contributor when he is on. However, he is just as inconsistent. Ross has seen over 25 minutes in each of his last four games, and has 23.3 fantasy points per game in that span. That makes him a relatively low risk option tonight so long as he can keep James Johnson on the bench.
A: Leonard and Aminu ($12,500)
B: James and Ross ($14,800)
Next: Too Many Risks At PF
Feb 8, 2015; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers forward Kevin Love (0) shoots the ball in the third quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers at Quicken Loans Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports
Patrick Patterson, Raptors ($4,400): He has been bounced back and forth between the starting lineup and the bench all season long, but he has consistently out-produced Amir Johnson. Both of them are risks, but Patterson has seen the more minutes in four of the last five games. He is the safest one to go with if you must go cheap at PF.
Worth The Cost:
Kevin Love, Cavaliers ($8,000): Love has been all over the place as far as production lately. He has been between 24.7 and 41.5 fantasy points in the last ten games, which is not a huge swing, but it is worth noting. Add to that the fact that Dirk Nowitzki can guard him on the perimeter where he likes to camp out, and I see a game on the lower end of the spectrum for Love tonight. That said, he is still the best option available.
Tim Duncan, Spurs ($7,200): Duncan did not record a field goal for the first time in his 17 year career on Sunday. Add that to the fact that he has not topped 30 fantasy points since February 25th, and I can’t recommend playing him right now. He has not played 30 minutes since February 19th, and the Spurs are obviously saving him for the playoffs at this point.
Dirk Nowitzki, Mavericks ($5,900): Dirk is a good price, but he has not been over 30 fantasy points in his last four games, and he has only hit 4.5x value (26.6 fantasy points) three times in ten games since the All Star break. Once you read those facts, his price no longer looks as good.
A: Love and Patterson ($12,400)
B: Love and Nowitzki ($13,900)
Next: Still Decent Options At C
Mar 2, 2015; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Toronto Raptors center Jonas Valanciunas (17) shoots a foul shot against the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center. The Raptors defeated the 76ers 114-103. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Timofey Mozgov, Cavaliers ($5,200): He has seen Tristan Thompson cut into his minutes some, but Mozgov has still averaged 20.7 fantasy points per game over his last ten outings. Don’t expect Cleveland to go small against Tyson Chandler and Amare Stoudemire, so Mozgov should see around 30 minutes, which he has not seen since the break.
Worth The Cost:
Jonas Valanciunas, Raptors ($5,900): Valanciunas has averaged 25.3 fantasy points per game over his last ten games. Two of those have been duds, but everyone is a risk in the turbo. He is the best option available.
Tyson Chandler, Mavericks ($5,700): Chandler has a nice matchup against Cleveland, but he has only scored 55.5 fantasy points in three games since returning to the court. There is just as good of a chance of you getting below 20 than above 30.
A: Valanciunas ($5,900)
B: Chandler ($5,700)
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