DraftKings Late MLB Picks For July 7

We are two games shy of a full slate in our main DraftKings tournament. If you are playing the early one, you know that we wouldn’t use anyone from those four teams in the night tournament anyway. We have a couple of aces on the hill, and a few that could perform like aces. Let’s pick an ace and find some bargains to go with him! Or do we need an ace at all? Let’s explore our options!

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The money line last night was at 117.2 DraftKIngs points. My lineup with Ray and Sale missed because of poor offensive performances by San Diego. The other one was done in by Sam Gaviglio and poor performances by the high priced hitters.

The winning lineup was back over 200 again to 202.9. He took a chance on Josh Tomlin and used the extra cash on a Cleveland/Houston hybrid stack.

These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!

Next: DraftKings Late Lineup

P: Zack Greinke ($11,200): You may notice the conspicuous lack of aces, but I can explain. The Braves actually hit the Nationals aces well. Both Strasburg and Scherzer have been hit by Atlanta. Scherzer lacks elite numbers against the Braves, and if I’m spending that on a pitcher, I want elite. The Cardinals are hitting .385 off of Jacob deGrom with three homers in only 26 at bats. For that price, I will pass. I will instead turn to Greinke, who has held the Reds to a .247 average in 73 at bats with only three homers and only four runs with 13 strikeouts. Joey Votto has all three homers off of him, so if he can avoid Votto, it’s all gravy.

P: Dan Straily ($8,000): The Giants are only hitting .125 against Straily in 32 at bats with the only real damage being a Brandon Belt solo shot. The caveat is that he only has four strikeouts. Straily has shown good strikeout potential, racking up 94 in 95 innings this year. His road ERA is significantly worse than his home mark, but AT&T Park is one of the more pitcher-friendly road venues. And the Giants haven’t scored more than five runs in a game this month. Straily could be a sneaky good play in this price range.

C: Welington Castillo ($2,900): You would never guess that Castillo is hitting .263 with eight homers and 25 RBI by his price. Castillo is even better on the road, with a .280 mark and 16 of his 25 RBI. And he is facing rookie Felix Jorge in his second career start. We need bargains to afford pitching, and Castillo looks like a great one.

1B: Mark Reynolds ($4,400): Oddly enough, Reynolds is the only current Rockie that has faced Derek Holland. Despite Holland’s solid year, this is a bad spot for him, and a good spot for any right handed Rockies hitter. I am getting my exposure with Reynolds, who is 3-9 with a walk, a run scored, and a RBI in his career against Holland. Who you are getting exposure with?

2B: Jose Ramirez ($4,900): Ramirez is 2-5 with a triple, a homer, two runs scored, and two RBI in his career against Jordan Zimmerman. Ramirez continues to destroy every pitcher in his path. He has only been held to single digit DraftKings points once in the last five games. I don’t see Zimmerman slowing him down any.

3B: Manny Machado ($3,800): Machado has had a down year offensively, but for this price against a rookie pitcher, I can’t pass this up. Machado still has enough time and the skill to right the ship this year. It could start tonight.

SS: Jurickson Profar ($3,200): Ricky Nolasco has been so inconsistent this year that it’s hard to even stack against him. He hasn’t given up a run in 15.1 innings over his last two starts, but was blasted for ten runs in 11.1 innings in the two starts before that. However, Profar was shredding AAA upon his demotion, and he recorded two doubles upon his return to the majors on Wednesday. He could be a great bargain depending on which version of Ricky Nolasco shows up.

OF: Seth Smith ($3,300): My Orioles stack against the rookie ends with their too-cheap leadoff hitter. Don’t get me wrong, Smith has struggled a lot lately like most of the rest of the team, but Jorge didn’t look particularly sharp against the Royals in Kansas City over the weekend.

OF: Carlos Gomez ($4,400): Gomez is 5-12 with two homers, four runs scored, and five RBI in his career against Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco has flirted with being a good pitcher before, but it always ends the same way: with a six run meltdown. Does it happen here against the Rangers? It may. He has a 5.29 ERA in three starts against Texas in his career.

OF: David Peralta ($3,900): Peralta’s part time status helps keep his price down. It looks like a great value at home against Tim Adleman. Adleman has pitched better lately, but Chase Field may be even more hitter friendly than his home digs. And this is a very good Arizona offense. Stacking Diamondbacks may not be a bad idea if you can afford it.

Next: DraftKings Late Lineup 2

P: Drew Pomeranz ($8,700): Pomeranz has been filthy to the Rays in his career. They are only hitting .161 off of him in 56 at bats with only two homers and four RBI with a ridiculous 26 strikeouts! I am a little nervous since the Rays beat Chris Sale last night. However, Sale still racked up 12 strikeouts, and finished with a very good score. Even if Pomeranz faces the same fate, he has a great shot at double digit strikeouts.

P: Cole Hamels ($7,800): Mike Trout isn’t back yet, so why is Hamels so cheap? He got rocked by Cleveland in his return from the disabled list, but he was solid against the White Sox, a team that clobbers lefties, on Saturday. The Angels are only hitting .236 against Hamels in 225 at bats with just four homers and only 13 runs. Hamels isn’t an elite strikeout guy, but I think he is very undervalued against the Angels tonight. I will be happy to use him at this price.

C: Mike Zunino ($3,500): Zunino had a monster June, but is off to a bit of a short start in July. He still has tremendous power, and is a threat to take Manaea deep due to the platoon advantage.

1B: Jose Abreu ($4,700): I am hopping aboard Abreu’s maiden voyage to Coors Field. He has three homers in the last six games anyway. Abreu could put on quite a show in the park, where a pitcher just hit a 467 foot bomb on Wednesday night. If a pitcher can do it, anyone is a threat!

2B: Daniel Murphy ($5,000): Murphy is 4-6 with a double and two solo homers against R.A. Dickey. Murphy seems to have the knuckler figured out, which is bad news for Dickey, who owns a dreadful 6.08 ERA on the road in seven starts this year. As for the Nats? Dickey has allowed 15 runs in just 17.1 innings pitched against them this year. The Nationals are a great stack if you can afford it.

3B: Miguel Sano ($4,600): Sano is only 2-8 in his career against Kevin Gausman, but both of those hits are home runs and he has driven in four. Gausman has pitched better lately, but I still don’t know just how much I trust the Orioles pitching staff. I’m not stacking Twins, but I do want some exposure.

SS: Tzu-Wei Lin ($2,500): Lin continues to start at third base, and could be a great value here tonight. The Sox are hitting .295 against Jake Odorizzi. Sox stacks have burned me this year, so I am deciding against that, but it is certainly warranted if you want to take that approach. At any rate, Lin has done well so far in the majors, and looks like a good value here.

OF: Aaron Judge ($5,600): Judge is always in play at Yankee Stadium. 20 of his league leading 29 home runs have come at Yankee Stadium in just 140 at bats. If he played the entire season there, he would be on pace for 82 home runs. Do you think Junior Guerra can hold him in the park? Yeah, me either.

OF: Nelson Cruz ($4,300): Cruz is 4-8 with four walks, two homers, and four RBI in his career against Sean Manaea. He has even stolen a base! Don’t expect another steal from Cruz tonight, but a homer is a good possibility. Cruz is hitting .325 with eight homers and 31 RBI in 43 home games this year.

OF: Rajai Davis ($3,300): It is entirely possible that Davis doesn’t steal four bags the rest of this month, but the speed is only a small reason why I’m going with him tonight. Davis is 5-9 with a triple, a solo homer, a steal, and four runs scored against Jamex Paxton in his career. There is still risk involved here since Paxton has been outstanding at home this year.

Next: FanDuel MLB Picks and Pivots

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!

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