The remaining five games are in the main tournament, and we have some big time pitchers going in this one! Who should we pay for? Where are some bargains so we can take two of these beasts? Let’s check some stats!
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The money line last night was much lower than the afternoon one at 115.8 DraftKings points. Both of my lineups missed. One because of Zack Greinke. The other because of a failed Rangers stack.
These picks are based mostly on statistical analysis . If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.
For you first time players, if you would like $10 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $10 into more!
Next: DraftKings Main Lineup
P: Madison Bumgarner ($11,800): Bumgarner is dominating the Padres, but that should come as no surprise. They are only hitting .174 in 86 at bats with three homers and only five runs with 21 strikeouts. MadBum was solid in his first start back, giving up four hits and three runs in seven innings. That was also against San Diego, and his past stats are still that good against them. Expect him to be a little more crisp today, especially back at home.
P: Cole Hamels ($9,400): Hamels has held the Orioles to a .224 average in 98 at bats with 27 strikeouts. They hit three homers and scored ten runs, but the Orioles were struggling to score runs until last night against human pitching machine Martin Perez. The O’s are solid against lefties, but Hamels has only allowed two runs in his last three starts spanning 22 innings. There is a good chance that he keeps the streak going tonight.
C: Jonathan Lucroy ($3,300): Lucroy is 5-13(.385) with two walks, a double, two homers, four runs scored, and four RBI in his career against Wade Miley. Kevin Gausman pitched well last night, but he had been better lately anyway. Miley is getting worse. This looks like a bad spot for Miley.
1B: Buster Posey ($4,100): Posey is 9-25(.360) with two walks, a double, a solo homer, and three runs scored in his career against Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin has been great at home, but the road is a different story and San Diego’s bullpen still has issues. Posey came through big yesterday against Cleveland. Don’t be surprised if he does again.
2B: Joe Panik ($4,400): Panik doesn’t have much of a history against Chacin, but does it really matter? His 7.94 road ERA says it all.
3B: Todd Frazier ($3,000): How will Frazier do in his new digs? Well, he doesn’t get to test out Yankee Stadium for a few more days, but he has done well against Felix Hernandez in his career. Frazier is 3-5 with two walks, two homers, and four RBI against King Felix. That means Frazier could have a big impact in his Yankee debut at a very low price.
SS: Brandon Crawford ($3,100): Crawford is 8-30 with two walks, three doubles, a triple, four runs scored, and three RBI in his career against Jhoulys Chacin. This is the place to stack against Chacin and his 7.94 road ERA.
OF: Chris Taylor ($4,800): Taylor is adapting to the leadoff role very well for the Dodgers. Mike Foltynewicz has had some good starts this year, but he has been a little better at home. He has also allowed 11 of his 15 homers on the road this season. Taylor hit one to lead off the game last night. Can he do it again?
OF: Carlos Gomez ($3,800): Gomez is 6-20 with two walks, a double, a triple, a homer, three runs scored, and two RBI in his career against Wade Miley. There are plenty of Rangers that come at a bargain price tonight that allow us to stack against Miley and still roll out two good pitchers.
OF: Denard Span ($3,400): Span is 4-11 with a walk, a double, and two RBI in his career against Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin’s road woes are well documented, so even a team that lacks a lot of punch like the Giants do could still be dangerous against him.
Next: DraftKings Main Lineup 2
P: Michael Fulmer ($10,200): The Royals are only hitting .212 in 85 at bats against Fulmer with two homers, six runs, and a whopping 20 strikeouts. Even the road-weary Justin Verlander held the Royals last night. Chances are great that Fulmer does the same, also with elevated strikeouts.
P: Luis Severino ($11,000): Severino has been good at home, but even better on the road this year. He owns a 3.02 ERA in ten road starts, and heads to Safeco Field, which is a pretty good pitcher’s park. This carries some risk since Seattle is doing pretty well as a team right now, but with he added stirkeout potential, Severino is worth the risk.
C: Tyler Flowers ($2,900): The Braves has given Brandon McCarthy some trouble, and McCarthy has been struggling a little lately. This is a good time to sic Flowers on him, who has a single in two at bats against him. Flowers also hit a homer last night. Can he do it again?
1B: Victor Martinez ($3,500): Today looks like a good day to pick on Danny Duffy instead of using him. The Tigers are hitting .267 with eight homers and 24 runs in 180 at bats. Martinez is 12-35(.343) with four walks, a double, three homers, four runs scored, and six RBI off of Duffy in his career. He also comes at a very low price so we can pay for pitching. How can you beat that?
2B: Ian Kinsler ($4,500): Kinsler’s price has shot up lately due to his 52 DraftKings points in his last four games. He is 7-29(.241) with five walks, a double, two homers, seven runs scored, and four RBI against Duffy.
3B: Nick Castellanos ($4,300): Castellanos is 7-21 with a triple, a homer, two runs scored, and two RBI against Duffy. This stack does carry some risk since Duffy has a 2.42 ERA at home this year. Still, it is hard to ignore the Tigers’ history against him.
SS: Jose Iglesias ($3,000): Iglesias is a solid punt tonight since he is 5-15 with a walk, a double, a triple, and three runs scored against Danny Duffy. You can do worse if you elect to go cheap on a lineup spot to pay for pitching. I don’t expect a lot from Iglesias, but double digit DraftKings points are possible.
OF: Brett Gardner ($4,500): Gardner is 12-33(.364) with five walks, two doubles, five runs scored and two RBI against Felix Hernandez in his career. Felix isn’t the pitcher that he used to be, but he has still been good in front of his court. Still, the Yankees were a dangerous offense before they landed Todd Frazier. They could be even better now.
OF: Justin Upton ($4,300): No Tiger stack is complete without Upton. He is 4-11 with a double, two homers, and four RBI off of Duffy in his career. There is a fair amount of risk involved in this lineup, but Duffy has been touched up twice in his last four starts. It’s worth the risk.
OF:Nick Markakis ($3,300): Surprisingly enough, Markakis has been the one that has really touched up Brandon McCarthy. He is 6-19(.316) with two walks, a double, two homers, five runs, and six RBI in his career against McCarthy. These are the only two homers that McCarthy has allowed to the Braves, but the team as a whole is hitting .357 off of him. That is what you wont see McCarthy in my lineups.
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball, along with our PGA picks. We also have plenty of NFL stuff to get you ready for football!