DraftKings Main NBA Picks March 25: Use Lillard over Westbrook tonight?

WASHINGTON, DC – JANUARY 12: Elfrid Payton #2 of the Orlando Magic reacts after getting fouled in the first half against the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena on January 12, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Main NBA Picks March 25: Is Lillard better than Westbrook tonight?

Despite the early-main split, the really early (1pm Eastern) tip of the Cleveland-Brooklyn game is only featured in a showdown tournament. The other two early games comprise the Early DraftKings tournament. The remaining six evening games make up a good sized main tournament. As if the lack of a late swap isn’t bad enough, instead of rectifying the situation, they great another tournament format and chop games off the larger tournaments. Makes perfect sense.

Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Russell Westbrook ($11,300): It’s tough to fade Westbrook, but Portland has allowed the fewest fantasy points in the league to opposing point guards. Russ is right at 5x value against Portland this year in three prior meetings. However, I wouldn’t expect a huge game from Westbrook. I would say 5x value is his ceiling, which makes Russ an acceptable fade.

Damian Lillard ($8,700): Care to venture a guess at who has allowed the second fewest fantasy points to point guards? Yep, it’s the Thunder. Lillard didn’t get the memo. He has 100 DraftKings points in two games against the Thunder this year. Both are risky on paper, but the history between Russ and Lillard suggests that they are both going to put up strong games tonight.

Honorable Mention:

Kyle Lowry ($8,300): Lowry has been out of his mind lately, putting up 195.25 DraftKIngs points over the last four games. It seems as though Lowry is single-handedly trying to get Toronto on the other side of the bracket from the Cavs. Lowry struggled against the Clippers earlier this year, but I will go with his current success as a better indicator of what to expect tonight.

Ricky Rubio ($7,200): I view Rozier as a touch overpriced for what he has been putting out lately. Rubio on the other hand, has at least 5x value in five straight games. Now he gets a Warriors team that is without Stephen Curry yet again. There is serious upside here!

Dark Horses:

Quinn Cook ($5,600): Cook even put up 34 DraftKings points without starting against the Hawks on Friday. Cook now has 153.75 DraftKings points over the last four games. This is not an easy matchup against Utah, but I still don’t think Cook is priced where he needs to be. That leaves him as a strong value play still.

Tomas Satoransky ($5,600): I would rather roll with Satoransky than play Russian Roulette with the Knicks point guards. Satoransky has 51.5 DraftKings points in only 46 minutes against the Knicks this year. If you are turned off by the potentially high ownership on Cook, Satoransky could come close to his output tonight.

My pick: Lillard(PG), Cook(UTIL); Satoransky(PG), Cook(G)

DALLAS, TX – MARCH 11: James Harden #13 of the Houston Rockets sits on the bench during play against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on March 11, 2018 in Dallas, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) /

Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

James Harden ($11,600): There is plenty not to like about Harden here. First off, even with Paul out the last two games, Harden hasn’t cracked the 50 DraftKings point barrier in either. Next, this is a matchup against the Hawks that promises to be one sided, especially when the Hawks play it safe and hold out Schroder. That said, the Hawks have allowed the second most fantasy points to shooting guards this season. Harden is still very tempting.

Bradley Beal ($8,100): Beal is slowing down offensively, but the Knicks could cure that. In two games against the Knicks this year, Beal has 110.75 DraftKings points. That is the upside you want, but this game also has blowout potential.

Honorable Mention:

Donovan Mitchell ($7,800): Mitchell tore up Texas (besides Houston) over the weekend. He had a combined 95.5 DraftKings points in Dallas and San Antonio. Mitchell continues to shoot a ton of shots, and make nearly half of them. The rookie has become an elite scorer for the Jazz, and is a major reason they are playoff bound.

DeMar DeRozan ($7,800): It’s hard to recommend someone that you know is in a slump, but wow, this is a low price on DeRozan. DeMar only needs 39 DraftKings points to hit value. This is a very good matchup against the Clippers. There is risk involved due to the slump, but there is huge value potential with DeRozan at this price.

Eric Gordon ($7,600): Did I mention how bad the Hawks are on the perimeter? The Hawks allowed 39.5 DraftKings points in 29 minutes to Gordon in the first matchup. Houston has zero reason to play Chris Paul tonight, so expect Gordon to start and put up big numbers at least one more time.

Dark Horses:

C.J. McCollum ($6,800): McCollum has averaged 41.7 DraftKings points in three meeting with the Thunder this season. There is solid potential here with what C.J. has done to the Thunder this year. The price is pretty affordable as well.

Corey Brewer ($4,500): Brewer has struggled against good defensive teams, so there is risk against Portland here. He still needs to score to come up with value for this price, but the defense makes sure that he wont totally kill your lineup. After all, he is only $4,500.

My pick: Mitchell(SG), Gordon(G); McCollum(SG)

OAKLAND, CA – FEBRUARY 06: Paul George #13 of the Oklahoma City Thunder reacts after making a three-point shot over Kevin Durant #35 of the Golden State Warriors during the second half of their NBA basketball game at ORACLE Arena on February 6, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Paul George ($7,700): George has no issue playing second fiddle to Russ since he still gets a healthy number of shots. He just didn’t hit them against Miami. It takes a really poor shooting night for George to not hit value these days, so he carries no more risk than anyone else. Of course, there is not huge upside against a team like Portland either.

Taurean Prince ($7,100): Only the Jazz and Spurs have been able to slow down Prince lately. Houston is a solid defensive team against forward, but Prince is the offense, especially if Schroder is forced to sit out again. Prince has put up a few monsters in the last couple of weeks. That isn’t out of the question here with Prince seeing so many offensive opportunities.

Honorable Mention:

Jayson Tatum ($6,500): Tatum is not the most consistent guy around, but he has put up solid numbers for Boston lately with all of the injuries plaguing the team. Tatum is not going to put up huge numbers. At least not at this point of his career. However, there is decent potential against the Kings tonight.

Michael Beasley ($5,600): Oh, what to do with Beastley? I don’t know either. He has 79 DraftKings points in two games against Boston this year, but his minutes have been wildly inconsistent this month. Fitting, since the Knicks have followed suit. There is good potential here, but too much risk for my taste.

Dark Horses:

Jae Crowder ($4,400): There is virtually no upside with Crowder, but he is worth a look considering the minutes he gets and how beat up the Warriors are. Utah wants to get out of that eight seed in the west, especially since they are 0 for Houston this year. Crowder will stay on the court enough to hit value.

Damion Lee ($3,900): Who? The Hawks signed Lee to a ten day contract in the middle of last week. He responded with two double digit scoring efforts in two tries. Lee has been a strong bench player for the Hawks, and makes for a nice low priced option if you need one.

My pick: Lee(SF), Lee(SF)

LOS ANGELES, CA – FEBRUARY 17: Draymond Green #23 of Team Stephen is introduced for practice at the Verizon Up Arena at LACC on February 17, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images) /

Power Forwards:

Best Bet:

Draymond Green ($8,600): Green and Zaza are the only starters that the Warriors will have today, so Green’s usage is going to be through the roof. He put up more than 50 DraftKings points in back to back games before getting hurt himself against the Spurs last week. If Green is in, which he should be, there is very good potential here.

Honorable Mention:

Dewayne Dedmon ($5,600): Aminu has been nothing short of a stud this week, but man, it’s hard to overlook his three awful games against the Thunder this year. Dedmon looks safer. Dedmon now has four straight games of 29 or more DraftKings points. There is still good potential here at this price, even against Houston.

Derrick Favors ($5,500): I’m guessing that Gobert will feel the wrath of Draymond’s defense, which leaves Favors to go after the talented but inexperienced Bell. Favors has averaged 35.3 DraftKings points per game in three games this week. He should be in that range again against a depleted Warriors squad.

Dark Horses:

Skal Labissiere ($5,200): Skal has a nice floor due to his rebounding ability. His offense is still a work in progress, but he has flirted with double-doubles lately. This is a good matchup against Boston, and Skal should be starting regardless of the status of Randolph. Labissiere is a mostly low risk value play with decent upside.

Jordan Bell ($4,800): I’m not a fan of this matchup, but you can’t deny what Bell did to Utah earlier this year. Bell racked up 33.25 DraftKings points in just 21 minutes against Utah earlier this year. There is decent potential here despite Utah’s strength up front.

My pick: Dedmon(PF), Favors(F); Green(PF)

LOS ANGELES, CA – DECEMBER 20: DeAndre Jordan #6 of the LA Clippers laughs during 108-95 wi over the Phoenix Suns at Staples Center on December 20, 2017 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

Center:

Best Bets:

DeAndre Jordan ($8,000): Jordan abused the Raptors for 48.25 DraftKings points in the first meeting. Jordan had his worst game since Griffin was traded against Indiana on Friday. That could keep ownership down for what is a superb matchup tonight. I’m not off of Jordan just yet.

Jonas Valanciunas ($6,900): Just because Jordan is an elite rebounder doesn’t mean that he is an elite defender. Valanciunas put up 43.75 DraftKings points in just 27 minutes against the Clippers earlier this year. There is nice potential for Valanciunas again tonight.

Honorable Mention:

Enes Kanter ($6,100): For whatever reason, the Blazers have succeeded in frustrating Steven Adams. So I will move down to Kanter, who despite the tough matchup on paper against the Wizards, has 70 DraftKings points against them in two games. Kanter seems to be back on track with three straight double-doubles. He should pick up a fourth tonight.

Dark Horses:

Greg Monroe ($5,300): Hey, its about time the Celtics remembered that they signed Monroe! The ineffectiveness of Al Horford and Aron Baynes hurts the bottom line for this team. Even though Monroe only plays about half the game, he has five straight games with more than 5x value. There is good potential here against the Kings.

Mike Muscala ($4,500): There is still potential here for Muscala despite the tougher matchup with Houston. Muscala has played at least 20 minutes in nine of the last ten games, so his role is safe. That means his status as a solid value play is safe as well.

My pick: Monroe(C); Jordan(C), Kanter(UTIL), Monroe(PF)

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