Valspar Championship DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
Breaking down Valspar Championship DraftKings picks for the week at the Copperhead Course with top plays, top fades and building a PGA DFS golf lineup.
Though the 2023 Valspar Championship might feel like somewhat of a letdown after last week’s PLAYERS Championship, it’s still a solid field this week at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Golf Resort with the likes of Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth, two-time defending champ Sam Bruns and many more in the field. So our DraftKings PGA DFS picks need to be locked in.
We got burned last week by Keegan Bradley, apparently due to injury as he WD’d from this week’s tournament, and Rory McIlroy. It was a hot run before that but now we have to bounce back with our Valspar Championship DraftKings picks.
If you want more insight on this week’s action, be sure to check out my expert picks and best bets in addition to my friend Iain MacMillan’s picks on BetSided. That will help inform your PGA DFS lineups even further.
With that, though, let’s take a look at the top plays, top fades and then build a lineup with our Valspar Championship DraftKings picks.
Valspar Championship DraftKings picks for PGA DFS lineups: Top Plays
$10,000: Jordan Spieth ($10,600) – I’m honestly not enamored with the $10K range as a whole but Spieth is intriguing. He’s still not reliable with the driver but he seems to have the miss at least somewhat under control in that he knows where he’s missing. On top of that, his iron play has been stellar and the putter has been nice. I think he could finish well in a range I don’t have a ton of faith in as a whole. Also Consider: Matthew Fitzpatrick ($10,000)
$9,000: Adam Hadwin ($9,200) – So we have Adam Hadwin here, a past winner at the Valspar (within the last five years) who also finished Top 10 at this spot a year ago. On top of that, it makes total sense as to why with his accurate but not long driving and strong approach play. He’s popped at courses that suit him already this season and I love him to do it again at Innisbrook. Also Consider: Tommy Fleetwood ($9,800), Denny McCarthy ($9,300), Davis Riley ($9,000)
$8,000: Brandon Wu ($8,500) – There are some great options in the $8K range but the profile of Brandon Wu is too enticing for me not to be on him this week. Wu is gaining 1.11 strokes ball-striking over his last 20 rounds and has been an even putter. He’s backed that up with a T2, T14 and T19 over that span. I think his profile is suited to succeed at the Copperhead Course and come out with a nice finish. Also Consider: Justin Suh ($8,900), Gary Woodland ($8,600), Ben Griffin ($8,400)
$7,000: Ryan Gerard ($7,300) – Ryan Gerard might mess around and make himself a household name. In his two PGA Tour starts, he’s finished T4 at the Honda and T11 at the Puerto Rico Open. Those fields are relatively similar to this but what he’s shown seems to fit just as well here, particularly gaining the majority of his strokes on approach and with ball striking. I’m willing to bank on a guy who just seems to be hot and has results to back it up. Also Consider: Byeon Hun An ($7,900), Stephan Jaeger ($7,800), Ludvig Aberg ($7,700), Akshay Bhatia ($7,500), Pierceson Coody ($7,400), Mark Hubbard ($7,100)
$6,000: Luke Donald ($6,800) – Even when the game hasn’t been there overall, Luke Donald has long performed at the Valspar, including a pair of Top 16 finishes in his last three starts here, all of which were made cuts. On top of that, he has two Top 40s in his last three starts this year. He’s gaining well on approach and on the greens, so I like a solid finish for a guy in the $6K range at a place he’s clearly comfortable. Also Consider: Dylan Wu ($6,800), Kevin Tway ($6,700), James Hahn ($6,500)
Valspar Championship DraftKings picks for PGA DFS lineups: Top Fades
$10,000: Sam Burns ($10,200) – What kind of idiot would fade the back-to-back defending champion at the Valspar? This idiot! Sam Burns had been striping the ball when he captured his victories at the Copperhead Course. Now, he’s losing more than a half-stroke on approach in his last 36 rounds. That’s not a recipe to succeed at this place and I’m not trusting him to find it this week just because of past success.
$9,000: Brian Harman ($9,100) – The history would say that the Valspar should be a good spot for Brian Harman given his style of play. Unfortunately, his play this year mean’s I can’t trust him. Harman has three missed cuts and no Top 40 finishes in his last five starts while losing 0.94 strokes on approach. That’s not going to get it done and don’t fall for the trap of this being a course fit. His game just isn’t there right now.
$8,000: Maverick McNealy ($8,700) – We know what Mav McNealy does. If he can hold it together and get onto the green consistently, he’s an elite putter that crushes on the greens. But he’s lost more than 0.60 strokes ball striking over his last 20 rounds and I just can’t trust that on a small, narrow course. I don’t see him having the chances to play to his biggest strengths this week.
$7,000: Ben Taylor ($7,200) – Normally I like to highlight fading a guy at the top of the $7K range but Ben Taylor deserves a mention. With three straight made cuts and a T5 in his recent starts, some people might think there’s value. However, he’s losing 0.81 strokes ball striking over the last 20 rounds and has been gaining mostly with the putter. I never trust that, but especially not at this course. Don’t get fooled by Taylor.
Valspar Championship: Best DraftKings golf lineup
- Tommy Fleetwood ($9,800)
- Adam Hadwin ($9,200)
- Brandon Wu ($8,500)
- Byeong Hun An ($7,900)
- Stephan Jaeger ($7,800)
- Luke Donald ($6,800)
Despite the confidence in Gerard, I like the lineup build here with two high-end $7K players better than going back into the $8K range with Gerard at $7,300.
Fleetwood is trending with his ball striking in a major way right now and should be on the first page of the leaderboard this week if the trends we’ve seen keep on. Pairing him with Hadwin and Wu at the top end of this PGA DFS lineup on DraftKings just makes a ton of sense.
We’ve talked about Donald, but we see An and Jaeger here. Both players are similar profiles as they’ve been making cuts in the majority of their starts and doing so with the ball striking. I think that pushes them up in this weaker field when an emphasis will be put on that at the Valspar, so I’m confident in their ability to finish well.