Apr 23, 2014; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Cubs unofficial mascot Billy Cub poses for a photo before the baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Wrigley Field. Today marks the 100th year anniversary of the stadium
There are five games in the evening tonight, which leaves us a few more options than the daytime tournaments. For us statheads, however, it won’t look like much more. Matt Wisler, Chris Heston, and Aaron Brooks have never faced their opponents. The Braves only have nine career at bats against Jose Urena. That really limits our choices as far as past stats go. Who are the best bets according to the numbers? Let’s find out!
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NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science.
Here are my late FanDuel picks for August 6:
Next: Let's Start With The Battery
Jul 8, 2015; Bronx, NY, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher CC Sabathia (52) reacts against the Oakland Athletics during the second inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports
CC Sabathia, Yankees ($7,200): CC’s recent struggles with cause some people to shy away, and rightfully so. But if you want the strikeout potential this evening, no one approaches CC’s career number against Boston. The Sox are hitting only .233 in 219 at bats against the veteran lefty with five homers, 19 RBI, and 57 strikeouts.
Jason Hammel, Cubs ($8,500): Hammel has held the Giants to a .224 average, but he is not without risks. In 49 at bats, the Giants have only struck out five times and they have driven in eight runs. However, considering how Minnesota has hit left-handers, I feel more comfortable with Hammel.
Scott Feldman, Astros ($6,800): Oakland is only hitting .255 off of Feldman in 153 at bats, but they have slugged seven home runs and driven in 18 with only 21 strikeouts. He could have a chance at a win with Aaron Brooks making his second career start, but don’t count on a lot of points. He won’t get much over ten even if he does get the win.
Kurt Suzuki, Twins ($2,200): Suzuki is 12 for 31 (.387) with a walk, two doubles, a home run, and an impressive seven RBI off of Mark Buehrle in his career. He is as close to a sure thing as you can get, and at a great price.
Ryan Hanigan, Red Sox ($2,200): Hanigan is the only other one that has a good history against the opposing pitchers tonight. He has four hits in 14 at bats against CC Sabathia with a double and a solo home run. Just check to make sure that the Red Sox are starting Hanigan before you use him.
Buster Posey, Giants ($4,900): Posey is just 2 for 11 off of Jason Hammel. Your money would be better spent elsewhere tonight.
Next: Next: The Corner Infielders
Jul 31, 2015; Chicago, IL, USA; New York Yankees designated hitter Alex Rodriguez (13) hits a double during the first inning against the Chicago White Sox at U.S Cellular Field. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports
Mike Napoli, Red Sox ($2,600): His .263 (10 for 38) average off of Sabathia is not great, but in those ten hits he has three doubles, two homers, and an impressive eight RBI off of the big lefty. If Napoli gets a hold of something, he could give you quite a few points.
David Ortiz, Red Sox ($4,000): Ortiz is only 16 for 67 (.239) off of Sabathia, but he has five walks, three doubles, two home runs, and seven RBI off of him. He is a better bet in DraftKings format, but he could pay off in FanDuel as well.
Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays ($5,200): Donaldson has only faced Kyle Gibson six times, but he has a walk and a double off of him. He doesn’t have any counting stats, but with the Jays hitting the way they are, I would expect that to change today.
Next: Next: The Middle Infield
Aug 4, 2015; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Minnesota Twins second baseman Brian Dozier (2) is greeted by teammates after scoring against Toronto Blue Jays in the fourth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
Brian Dozier, Twins ($3,500): Dozier is 3 for 7 with two doubles in his career off of Mark Buehrle. One of these times, those doubles are going to turn into home runs. It could be tonight!
Eric Sogard, Athletics ($2,200): Sogard only has three hits in 15 at bats against Scott Feldman, but he has two walks, a double, a triple, and a pair of RBI. You are taking a risk with Sogard, but it could end up paying off.
Marcus Semien, Athletics ($2,500): Semien is 2 for 5 with a solo home run off of Scott Feldman. There isn’t an awful lot of past history at shortstop tonight, so if you have a gut feeling, there is nothing wrong with that.
Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox ($3,700): Bogaerts is only 2 for 9 off of Sabathia, but he has walked three times. This is the largest sample size, and if you factor in the walks, he will end up with positive points.
Next: Now: The Outfield!
Jul 30, 2015; Oakland, CA, USA; Oakland Athletics right fielder Josh Reddick (22) hits a RBI double against the Cleveland Indians in the first inning at O.co Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Lance Iversen-USA TODAY Sports
Josh Reddick, Athletics ($2,600): Reddick has been out of the lineup the last two days, but he should be ready tonight. Us daily players sure hope he is. Reddick is 7 for 23 (.304) with three walks, two doubles, three home runs, and four RBI off of Feldman. Reddick is likely more valuable in DraftKings, but at this price in FanDuel, he could be an absolute steal here as well.
Torii Hunter, Twins ($2,900): Hunter has 24 hits in 97 career at bats against Mark Buehrle (.247). The average is not great, but the six doubles, a triple, three homers, and 17 RBI take the sting out of it. Once again, Hunter is more valuable in DraftKings format, but he could be a steal in FanDuel as well.
Hunter Pence, Giants ($3,600): Pence is 5 for 17 (.294) with a walk, a double, a home run, and five RBI off of Jason Hammel. He is one of the less risky options of the night.
Coco Crisp, Athletics ($2,200): Crisp missed yesterday’s game with neck stiffness, so make sure he is in the lineup before adding him to yours. If he plays, Crisp is a good play. Crisp is 7 for 20 (.350) with a walk and three RBI off of Feldman.
Jacoby Ellsbury, Yankees ($3,600): Ellsbury has only faced Eduardo Rodriguez three times, but he came away with a single and a solo home run. If he can duplicate that feat, you will net close to ten points.
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