College Football Picks Against The Spread September 3-5

Sep 13, 2014; Arlington, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns mascot Bevo XIV prior to the game against the UCLA Bruins at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports /

College Football Picks Against The Spread September 3-5

Do you want the college football picks for every game? I’m sure a few internet searches could give you what you are looking for. How about against the spread? Now it gets a little tricky. You have several sites that will show you a handful of picks. You have more that will sell them to you. Here you will get every spread for every 1-A vs. 1-A football game. All season long!

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Last year, I went 400-366 for a 52.2% success rate. Picking every game, that isn’t such a bad rate. The more accurate rate was by the confidence point meter. I finished with 123 points on the season. I assign all games a rank from least confidence (1) to most (5). Look for those at the end of every line to see just how confident I am in each pick.

In case you don’t know what I do here, I pick every college football game of the season. Against the spread. Trust me, it’s not as easy as it sounds! I take the average of the odds from all of the Vegas casinos. I then round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football (soccer).

A large number of the games feature games against 1-AA schools. These games will not be picked because it is too hard to get an accurate spread. Most casinos wont post a line on these games anyway.

There are 13 1-A vs. 1-A games to finish off the best opening weekend ever in College Football. I really hope that we continue to see marquee out of conference games in the upcoming seasons. The Committee has it in their hands. They didn’t punish Ohio State for losing early to a ranked Virginia Tech two years ago. They have shown a willingness to hold it against you more for not playing anyone out of conference than for playing one and losing it. I completely agree with their stance.

This is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions (or limbs) because of my picks. These are a guideline that you can use to help you with your picks. I am a simple man. I can’t have that on my conscience.

Just in case you missed any:
Thursday-Friday
Early Saturday

Away we go, with the rest of the picks for week 1!

Next: The Rest Of The Picks Are Here!

Apr 16, 2016; Athens, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs running back Sony Michel (1) on the sideline during the second half of the spring game at Sanford Stadium. The Black team defeated the Red team 34-14. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports /

(18)Georgia(-2.5) vs. (22)North Carolina at Atlanta(3): Same with the pick em, I still like Georgia here. The line would have to be over three to make me consider picking against them.

SMU(-9.5) at North Texas(3): Calling this a road game is a bit misguided. Denton is about a 20 mile trip up I-35 for SMU, so they will be well represented. SMU has managed to get a little talent through there lately. They will likely never be at the level they were before the Death Penalty, but they are showing signs of getting better. They should have little problems with this one. I’ll bet on the Ponies.

San Jose State at Tulsa(-4.5)(4): This line is falling fast. I’m not really sure why. Tulsa’s defense is terrible, but they have some talent on offense. Tulsa for anything under a touchdown seems like easy money.

Southern Mississippi at Kentucky(-6.5)(3): Southern Miss won nine games last year, but Kentucky has been flirting with relevance for a couple of years now. Are they finally there? After the uninspiring performance by Tennessee, the rest of the SEC East has to be thinking that they have a chance, Kentucky included. Let’s see if they come out ready. If they do, they won’t have any trouble covering. Give me Kentucky.

Massachusetts at (25)Florida(-36.5)(3): UMass no longer has the ability to try and keep up with teams now that Blake Frohnapfel is gone. Florida’s defense is special. Can their offense keep up? We wont really find out this week. This will be a laugher. Give me the Gators.

(20)USC vs. (1)Alabama(-11.5) at Jerry World(3): This is too many. Alabama lost a lot of pieces from last year. So many that it could take some game action – real game action – for them to play together. USC is not without its learning curve, but they do have the best receiver in college. JuJu Smith-Schuster will be able to give the Alabama secondary fits. I think this game stays close. Give me USC.

Fresno State at Nebraska(-28.5)(1): I really don’t like that half. Fresno’s “defense” was non-existent last year. Nebraska’s wasn’t a lot better. Nebraska has a lot more offensive talent, but they have had issues with turnovers in recent years. Like most other Big Ten(14) teams this week, Nebraska has the talent to cover, I’m just not very confident that they will. That said, I am scarred for life from watching Fresno a couple of times last year. Give me Nebraska.

New Mexico State at UTEP(-9.5)(2): This line has jumped since it appears Aggie RB Larry Rose is not going to play. It doesn’t matter to me. I would have taken the Miners at this line with Rose.

(2)Clemson(-7.5) at Auburn(5): Auburn is not the team that ESPN thinks they are. Their love affair with the SEC has gone too far, not to mention it is a conflict of interest. ESPN talked up Tennessee all summer. They did with Auburn as well. We saw what almost happened to the Vols. Clemson has a lot more talent on offense, and their defense is about as good as Auburn’s. Clemson by at least two touchdowns.

BYU(-1.5) vs. Arizona at Glendale, AZ(1): This line has gone back and forth a lot over the last 7-10 days. Arizona has been favored by as many as three. BYU has been favored by the same. Right now, a couple of places have this as even odds. It may wind up that way by kickoff. This is going to be a good game, I know that. I do have questions about just how well Taysom Hill will be able to move. I give Arizona the edge because they are practically at home, but this one really could go either way.

Northern Illinois(-9.5) at Wyoming(1): This stadium is the highest above sea level in Division 1. If you have ever gone hiking in the mountains, you know how laborious it can be to breathe up there if you aren’t used to it. That will keep this game closer than it should be. That said, I will take the Huskies for under double digits.

(10)Notre Dame(-3.5) at Texas(3): Texas showed signs of what they can be at times last year. If they put it together, they might win the Big 12(10). The Longhorns match up well with Notre Dame. There are a lot of unknowns on both sides coming into this, but Texas has a dozen five star recruits every year. It’s only a matter of time until they start playing like it. Give me Texas.

(11)Mississippi vs. (4)Florida State(-4.5) at Orlando(3): Yes, Mississippi lost a lot, but the leader, QB Chad Kelly, is still there. The Seminole defense is good enough to rattle him, but he doesn’t rattle easily. Kelly has beaten Ala-damn-bama twice. How many quarterbacks in the last ten years can say that? Give me Ole Miss.

For this week, I have six one-point games, nine two-pointers, 18 three pointers, five four-pointers, and three five-pointers. I have a total of 113 possible points. I already know I wont get close to that. 60 sounds like a nice, round number, to that’s what I’m aiming for. Good luck to all of you out there!

Next: ESPN College Pick Em Picks Week 1

Don’t forget to come back for all of the Saturday picks! If you want to challenge the rest of the Fantasy CPR readers, here is the College Pick Em group! Claim your dominance!