College Football Picks Against The Spread Late November 12

Oct 22, 2016; Columbia, MO, USA; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders quarterback Brent Stockstill (12) runs the ball during the second half against the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field. Middle Tennessee won 51-45. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 22, 2016; Columbia, MO, USA; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders quarterback Brent Stockstill (12) runs the ball during the second half against the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field. Middle Tennessee won 51-45. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports /
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Oct 22, 2016; Tempe, AZ, USA; Washington State Cougars quarterback Luke Falk (4) against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Sun Devil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 22, 2016; Tempe, AZ, USA; Washington State Cougars quarterback Luke Falk (4) against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Sun Devil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports /

College Football Picks Against The Spread Late November 12

College football can be a fickle beast. It is still easier to pick against the spread than the NFL, but when you pick every game, it can get tough. I struggled a little bit, okay a lot, last week so I still have a big hole to dig myself out of.

More from College Football Odds

In case you don’t know what I do here, I pick every college football game of the season. Against the spread. Trust me, it’s not as easy as it sounds! I take the average of the odds from all of the Vegas casinos. I then round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football (soccer).

This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.

This is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions (or limbs) because of my picks. These are a guideline that you can use to help you with your picks. I am a simple man. I can’t have that on my conscience.

We have another 58 games this weekend this weekend, with 50 of them taking place on Saturday. I need a great final month to even make this year respectable. No time like the present, right?

Here are the other picks, just in case you missed any:
Tuesday-Friday
Early Saturday
Saturday Afternoon

Let’s get to the rest of the Saturday picks for the week!

Nov 5, 2016; Ann Arbor, MI, USA; Michigan Wolverines quarterback Wilton Speight (3) rushes in the first half against the Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 5, 2016; Ann Arbor, MI, USA; Michigan Wolverines quarterback Wilton Speight (3) rushes in the first half against the Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports /

UTEP at Florida Atlantic(-3.5)(1): I am taking the Miners, and not just because FAU torched me last week. Aaron Jones should lead them to victory.

(22)Boise State(-18.5) at Hawaii(1): Boise has not covered a spread in quite some time. Give me Hawaii.

Middle Tennessee State(-8.5) at Marshall(5): Did I miss something? Marshall just lost to Charlotte. Blue Raider QB Brent Stockstill is easily the best player on the field. MTSU by a lot!

Wake Forest at (6)Louisville(-34.5)(1): This looks a bit high, but the Cardinals have obliterated everyone at home. I think I have to go with Louisville anyway.

(24)LSU(-6.5) at (25)Arkansas(2): This is going to be a close one, but just how close? LSU couldn’t move the ball at all against Alabama, but Arkansas isn’t as good on defense as the Tide. Or on offense. Give me LSU.

South Florida(-3.5) at Memphis(2): I do think USF is the better team, but this is going to be a close one. How close? Maybe within three. I’m going to take the Bulls and hope they win by four.

Minnesota at (19)Nebraska(-6.5)(3): Tommy Armstrong’s status is still up in the air, so this line has stayed close to the vest the whole time, and is even off the board in places. If Armstrong doesn’t play, I’m putting five on the Gophers no matter what the spread is. If he plays, I’m still taking the Gophers.

Mississippi at (8)Texas A&M(-9.5)(3): Let the free-fall begin. The Aggies were losing last week even before Trevor Knight went out. The bad news is that Knight’s college career is likely over. Ditto for Ole Miss’s Chad Kelly. So for SEC  Prime Time this week we get two teams without their starting quarterbacks. This line opened at -20, so I guess the bettors don’t believe in A&M, but they had a much better cast around Knight than Ole Miss did around Kelly. Give me A&M.

(20)USC at (4)Washington(-7.5)(2): Washington is the better team, and they are at home, but how will they handle the pressure? A&M got into the top four last week and collapsed under the pressure. Will Washington do the same? I don’t think so, but you never really know. I’m taking the Huskies, but not for many points.

(3)Michigan(-21.5) at Iowa(4): Why has Michigan looked so good? Their defense is. Another reason is that they have played a lousy road schedule. Iowa will be the best team that the Wolverines have faced on the road, and we all know what a disappointment they have been. Michigan wins big…..again….

Oregon State at UCLA(-11.5)(2): Oregon State is mostly lousy, but is UCLA much better? They better be at home because I’m taking the Bruins.

(12)Colorado(-16.5) at Arizona(3): It has been a dream year for the Buffs, and a disaster for Arizona. That trend continues. Give me the Ralphies.

Colorado State at Air Force(-5.5)(3): If Air Force plays like they did when they were playing for the Commander in Chief Trophy, this wont be a game. If not, it could get interesting. Give me Air Force at home.

New Mexico at Utah State(EVEN)(1): This line has flopped around like a fish out of water. In fact, it still ranges from New Mexico -1.5 to Utah State -2. No one can decide on this. It should be a really close one, but I like the skill players of New Mexico better. I will take the Lobos.

San Diego State(-23.5) at Nevada(2): I cant bet against Donnel Pumphrey. This is turning into a Heisman campaign for him. He wont get it because he isn’t a quarterback, but that doesn’t matter. We still know the truth. The Heisman hasn’t meant anything this century anyway.

California at (23)Washington State(-14.5)(4): This looks low. Really low. The Cal defense is a disaster, and the Cougar offense is a well-oiled machine. Give me the Leaches.

Next: ESPN College Pick Em Picks Week 11

This week I have 11 one pointers, 19 two pointers, 17 three pointers, nine four pointers, and a pair of five pointers. I still haven’t gotten brave enough to start throwing more fives around, but the worst mistake a gambler can make is betting more trying to win more to get back into the black. Hopefully lady luck and the college football Gods will shine on me a bit this weekend. I need it!